Rick Jones

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Long ago and far away, a radio show gave birth to the catchphrase “Who know what evil lurks in the hearts and minds of men?  The Shadow knows.”  I think, although I’m not entirely certain at this point, that the Shadow was a good guy, but deeply misunderstood and viewed with enormous suspicion by more main stream enforcers of right thinking and morality.  Shadows are where bad things happen, where the bad guy hides and jumps out when the teenage starlet inevitably walks into the darkened derelict house, saying in a little voice, “Hello, hello?  Billy, are you there?”  Bad things inevitably ensue.  Shadows are bad.

Okay, what’s this all about?  We need to stop the narrative right now that all financial market participants; funds, specialty finance companies, advisors, BDCs, etc., which are not insured depository institutions (let’s call them non-banks for short) are creatures of the shadows.  Shadows are bad, non-banks are in the shadows…ok, you get the picture.  Our traditional banks, which take deposits guaranteed by the US of A are under the loving and protective wing of the FDIC, the Federal Reserve or the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (and yes dear Lord, the FSOC).  That makes sense, they take Caesar’s coin and Caesar is entitled to a bit of supervision.  But the non-banks do not; they risk private capital.  That makes a difference.
Continue Reading The Shadow: What’s in a Name – The Maleficence of Shadow Banking

During the past several years, CRE Securitizations were airbrushed off the financial products reviewing podium like a discredited Politburo member. Not here, never ever here; nope, never heard of it. This was a mistake rooted in populous politics and the conflation of the tools of finance with the tool users (okay, with some very unhelpful help from a few admittedly alarming design failures in the tool itself).

But now, eight years on, plenty of political and regulatory water has gone over the dam. As we said in a recent blog, it’s time for a reset and not just in the legal and regulatory arena, but in the market itself. Taking some liberties with recent news from Detroit, this nifty little coupe of a financial tool has had its successful recall, it’s new and improved, the engineering errors of the early models have been fixed and we’ve sorted out that neither the underaged nor the ethically challenged ought to be allowed to take this little guy out for a spin.
Continue Reading CRE Securitization: Rehabilitation Still In Progress

The Financial Times reported on April 2 that the Eurozone Banks continue to load up on sovereign debt; generally, the debt of their respective host countries.  A few days later, the Financial Times reported a bevy of talking heads crowing over the end of the EC financial crisis.  And then on April 16, the European Parliament voted to approve a slew of new laws for the EU banking marketplace, including a single resolution mechanism so comprised to be almost useless and a common rulebook for winding down the banks.  Does anyone here or there think any of this really matters?  First, it’s going to take years to generate the rules that this legislation birthed and even after the Euro apparatchiki spend years creating detailed rules, the dynamics of Brussels will ensure there will be so many loopholes it would make a block of Swiss cheese blush.  Moreover, does anyone actually think the various nation states will honor these rules if a champion bank is in trouble?  I, for one, do not. 
Continue Reading EU Banks –Dog Bites Man, Again

It’s still in the early days of 2014.  I think it’s finally stopped snowing in the East, the sun has come out and the stock market is continuing to outperform the woe purveyors.  Republicans and Democrats have gotten something done on the budget; lions have laid down with lambs; geopolitically, the world’s a mess but no one seems to care back home.  The financial crisis of 2007 and 2008 is beginning to fade into history.  Things are pretty good and likely to get better for quite some time.

Isn’t it, therefore, a great time to reset? To reset some of the regulatory and legislative excesses stitched together with little reflection during the crucible of the late, great credit crisis?  What appeared to make sense in the middle of that crisis simply doesn’t make a great deal of sense anymore and it’s time for a reset.   As John Maynard Keynes famously said, when the facts changed, he changed his mind.  Shouldn’t we?  It is the height of hubris and willful incuriousness to ignore four years of data and not recalibrate.

If we were to recalibrate, let’s think of some of the things we might rethink.Continue Reading Time for Regulatory Reset

I have been mulling our 2014 Outlook for some time and decided to wait until after the New Year and CREFC to write.  Just in case we got the whole Mayan calendar end of the world story wrong by a year (hey, it was 5000 years old) which would make the whole prediction thing a bit irrelevant, I elected to wait and possibly save me some work.  But we’re still here and settling into 2014.  It’s time. 
Continue Reading 2014 OUTLOOK

It’s the Christmas season and this week we got the Volcker Rule. How seasonably appropriate! Now, I get the whole Christmas trade. You’re good, you get toys; bad, coal in the stocking. But this is bad in a regifted, four-year-old fruit cake sort of way. My desk now groans under the 1100 pages of Volcker whilst I’m trying to gin up some Christmas cheer – it’s not fair. We at Dechert will be sending out a more thoughtful analysis of the Rule by way of Dechert OnPoints, with more to come as the digesting process continues.Continue Reading Santa-baby: Volcker in the Sack

Dow at 16,000, government up and running and the first Single-Family Rental deal now safely in investors’ hands – we are in pretty good shape. As is our tradition here at Crunchedcredit.com, we present to you our nod to the stories and happenings that struck us as amusing or important. (Or both). (Or neither).Continue Reading CrunchedCredit.com’s 4th Annual Golden Turkey Awards

Well, Halloween has come and gone and with the annual bacchanal of faux frisson over zombies, vampires and the like behind us, can we also put away risk retention anxieties like one of those annoying and morally disturbing Miley Cyrus costumes? Unfortunately not. The industry’s comments have all been neatly bundled and delivered to the multi-headed hydra which is the ad hoc joint rulemaking committee of the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, HUD, the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, the Federal Housing Finance Agency, the Securities Exchange Commission and the FDIC and the leading lights of the regulatory apparatchik are presumably cuddled up before the fireplace this holiday season with a glass of Bordeaux diligently reading comment letters.Continue Reading Risk Retention Follies – Part Deux

Jens Weidmann, president of Deutsche Bundesbank, recently wrote a terrific piece in the Financial Times, making the point that the Faustian bargain between European sovereigns, their national banks, the ECB and EU policymakers to encourage European banks to gorge on sovereign debt may be politically attractive in the short run while being fundamentally a horrible idea. With a wink and nod, President Draghi of the ECB essentially told the world that the ECB would keep the European banks afloat. With that assurance in their pocket, and the gnomes of Basel III declaring sovereign debt riskless, requiring essentially no capital, the banks continue to buy their sovereign debt – and buy big. By doing so, the banks become enablers of bad fiscal policy, artificially lowering the risk premia on all risk assets (resulting in mispricing), and clogging their balance sheets with government IOUs. The result: The banks are less able to support the real economy.Continue Reading European Sovereign Debt and the Clogging of the Banking System