Last week, I spoke in London at a conference, “Investing in Bank Assets” sponsored by the Association of Financial Markets in Europe (AFME). The Conference had a titillating, if a tad alarming, subtitle “The European Purge Begins”.

The question is, of course, is it true?  The purge, I mean.   Is there a European purge afoot, and are there massive opportunities to invest in European bank assets? I, for one, certainly hope so. 

Let’s test the case. Those who read this blog regularly will be aware we’ve been chirping about these opportunities for quite some time. Having participated on one side or another in most of the recent European banks’ initiatives to dispose of dollar denominated US assets, we’ve become quite fond of this nascent trend. And, not to bury the lead, we think there is a very large opportunity in the disintermediation from European banks, and a particularly large opportunity with respect to US commercial mortgage loan assets held by our European friends over the next 12 to 24 months. By the way, kudos to AFME, Gilbey Strub, Managing Director for Resolutions and Crisis Management at AFME and her colleagues for putting on a terrific show. It was co-sponsored by Dechert and by Alvarez & Marsal.Continue Reading MORE ON OPPORTUNITIES IN EU BANKLAND

The image of the cresting wave looming behind the dais in the Loews’ Americana Salon during Douglas Holtz-Eakin’s keynote address posed a central, if unintended, question that was addressed by more than one speaker during the three-day conference.  Are we riding a wave to recovery or facing a deluge of maturing debt?  For most of the 1,200 industry participants that occupied Miami’s South Beach for CREFC’s annual January conference last week, there seems to be no certain answer (other than almost unanimous agreement that South Beach is a better Winter destination than our Nation’s Capitol).Continue Reading CREFC January Conference Recap: Riding the Wave

What’s with all these public CMBS offerings?  And what about all that rule-making?  The registered market has otherwise been frozen since the pre-crisis days, and the cloud of heavy-handed regulation looming over our heads is anything but an invitation to dust off your public shelf.  Moreover, given that some of those regulations may be (or have been) applied in the 144A context, shouldn’t one be concerned about the private market before we even think about re-entering the public space?  And all of that is without even considering the general mid-year market slump.  To address these critical questions and the state of the galaxy as we know it, CREFC held an after-work seminar recently, hosted by Dechert, entitled “Review and Outlook for Public CMBS Offerings.”Continue Reading Summary of a CREFC After-Work Seminar: The Return of the Public Deal or the Regulator Strikes Back?

The Chairman of the House Committee on Financial Services (“HFSC”) Spencer Bachus (R-AL) and the Chairman of the HFSC Subcommittee on Capital Markets and GSEs Scott Garrett (R-NJ) submitted a letter on August 2, 2011 to the joint regulators addressing the premium capture cash reserve account (“PCCRA”) as proposed in the risk retention NPR.  Under the proposed risk retention rules, if excess spread in a securitization is monetized, any premium received has to be put into a separate PCCRA that would absorb losses first.  So a securitizer who monetizes an IO or earns a premium on the sale of P&I bonds, has to put that money in a PCCRA to serve as a first loss reserve for any losses on the collateral– for the life of the transaction– on top of the 5% risk retention requirement. So, basically, securitizations would be done without profit.  Understandably, the PCCRA has been one of the sore spots of the risk retention NPR.  The Mortgage Bankers Association (“MBA”), among many others, extensively discussed the problems with the PCCRA in its July 11 letter to federal regulators outlining MBA’s views and recommendations from the commercial and multifamily mortgage finance perspective in response to the risk retention NPR.Continue Reading More About that Premium Capture Kerfuffle

Ah, baby is one. I remember when mine was — complete with an over-the-top celebration for an infant who had no idea what was going on and would remember nothing of it. The food, the drink, the fancy cake, the ridiculous crown… I chalk it up to a rite of passage for a parent to throw at least one of those unnecessary first birthday parties. On this, Dodd-Frank’s first birthday, I’m not so sure those who birthed it are donning hats, eating cake and sipping champagne in celebration.

On July 19, the Government Accountability Office (the “GAO”) published an 83 page report entitled “MORTGAGE REFORM Potential Impacts of Provisions in the Dodd-Frank Act on Homebuyers and the Mortgage Market.” The report addresses the potential impact on the mortgage market of qualified mortgage (“QM”) criteria, the credit risk retention requirement, provisions concerning homeownership counseling and regulation of high-cost loans. By examining mortgage loans made from 2001 through 2010 in CoreLogic, Inc.’s database, the GAO has drawn some practically meaningless conclusions about the mortgage market. For starters, the GAO acknowledges that the data used for its examination was not necessarily a representative sample. Furthermore, on several occasions throughout the report, the GAO hedges its analysis to the point of, well, uselessness.Continue Reading Dodd-Frank is One! And We Still Don’t Know What a Resi Mortgage is Going to Look Like

The process of transforming 2,000 pages of Dodd-Frank into 25,000 pages of regulations is well under way. Front and center is Risk Retention. I assume you, like me, have been studying the 300 plus pages of the proposed Risk Retention rules (known to the cognoscenti as the Risk Retention “NPR”) for the past several weeks getting ready for the June 10th deadline for comments, right? Oddly, almost a full month passed before the government actually posted the NPR to the Federal Register, something which is usually done in a matter of days. (Tea leaf readers, thoughts?)

We have visited Risk Retention in this Blog before, but today we want to really focus on premium capture as it seems to capture all that is wrong with the NPR. My first reaction to reading the words on the page: Where the hell did this come from? On the fifth read, same reaction. There was nary a hint of the premium capture monstrosity in either Dodd-Frank or in the whispering about the rule-making process before the NPR came out.  Continue Reading Premium Capture Kerfuffle: The Poster Child of What’s Wrong with Risk Retention

Last Thursday evening, Dechert partners in our Finance and Real Estate Group and Bankruptcy, Business Restructuring and Reorganization Group hosted a cocktail party for our clients at our New York office.  The main item on the agenda for the evening was simply to take the opportunity to learn more about what’s on the minds of our clients and to discuss the outlook for the remainder of 2011.  Also on the agenda for the night – wine, sushi, taking in the view of the Empire State Building and catching up on the latest activity in the Major Leagues.

With well over 100 people in attendance, we had the chance to hear from a wide variety of clients in commercial and residential loan origination, mortgage servicing and securitization (CMBS, RMBS, ABS and CLOs).  Across the board, I would say the mood was upbeat and optimistic.  Lending is ramping up.  Term sheets are being drafted.  Bankers are talking more about securitization as a viable take out strategy.Continue Reading Dechert’s FRE and BRR Groups Host Clients

Last Wednesday, Laura Swihart and I attended CREFC’s after-work seminar on the new model set of representations and warranties, which the group is set to release in coming weeks. The model set is the product of a patchwork committee of 50-odd individuals representing the full gamut of industry types – securitization issuers, bond investors, rating agencies, servicers, wall street banks, life insurance companies, law firms, third-party providers and other interested parties. As a member of the committee, I’ll second CEO John D’Amico’s statement applauding the hard work of the committee. It takes a special group of people to stay energized through 90 minutes of heated discussion on the phrasing of property insurance requirements; the enthusiasm so many of my fellow committee members brought to each meeting and conference call was astounding.

The initiative is, in large part, a response to the SEC’s new Exchange Act Rule 17g-7 (initially proposed last October and final rule released in January), which, among other things, requires that the rating agencies identify, on a deal-by-deal basis, deviations from industry-standard reps and warrants. CREFC hopes that the model set will serve as the basis upon which all deals will be judged. It’s not necessarily clear whether the model reps will be widely utilized by the market, or how the SEC rules will be implemented – deals have obviously been selling for over a year without industry-wide agreement on a form of reps and warrants.Continue Reading TriBeCa 2.0: CREFC Prepares to Release Model Loan Seller Reps and Warrants

ASF 2011 kicked off yesterday, February 6, at the Orlando World Center Marriott.  Dechert attorneys Malcolm Dorris, Ralph Mazzeo, Patrick Dolan, John Timperio, Cindy Williams, Andrew Pontano, Lorien Golaski and I are hosting a cocktail party for clients and friends here this evening.

Congressman Scott Garrett (R-NJ), Chairman of the House Financial Services Subcommittee on Capital Markets and Government-Sponsored Enterprises (GSEs), delivered the featured address this morning, February 7. In his new role as Chairman, Congressman Garrett will be a key player in the debate over the future of the GSEs, the implementation of the Dodd-Frank Act and the continued development of a legislative framework for a covered bonds market in the U.S.Continue Reading ASF 2011 Kicks Off in Orlando, Florida