Since my earliest days in the CRE capital markets biz, there has always been a drumbeat of grumbling from the borrower community about the annoying complexity, expense and delay of having one’s loan serviced in a capital markets transaction.  It’s been going on forever.  Like noise, like listening to Brits complaining about their weather; it’s ubiquitous, apparently personally gratifying, but largely inconsequential for outcomes.  The business goes on.  Data indicates that as many as 60% of all new CMBS loans come from refinancing non-CMBS loans, so it’s  not like a structured finance ghetto here.  The sell side takes comfort from the old saw that no sensible borrower would go to the CMBS window except as a last resort… like, three basis points or five bucks in extra proceeds.  Ok, that’s a tad too harsh and dismissive.  But going to the capital markets window for lower rates, more proceeds or less recourse is entirely rational.  On the other hand, the narrative about the pain through servicing in the capital markets is also real.
Continue Reading The Dilemma of the Really Annoyed Borrower

It is awards season and we here at Crunched Credit have much to celebrate!

Dechert LLP named “Law Firm of the Year” by PDI, PEI and PERE

Dechert LLP was recently honored in five “Law Firm of the Year” awards across Europe, the Americas, and Asia by Private Debt Investor (PDI), Private Equity International (PEI)…

CREFC has surveyed some of its attendees—all major participants in the commercial real estate finance industry—at the 2017 CRE Finance Council January Conference in Miami.  CREFC’s 2017 market outlook survey confirmed what we observed at the conference this year, that for the most part survey respondents were cautiously optimistic in the face of the Trump Administration, Risk Retention and movement near the peak of the real estate cycle.  We decided to dig a little deeper to see how this year’s survey responses differed from last year’s. Armed with the benefit of a little hindsight, let’s consider the year we had, the year we expected, and the year we’ve just begun.
Continue Reading Reading the Financial Tea Leaves: CREFC Market Outlook Survey 2017

SFIG Vegas 2017, which took place last week at Aria Resort & Casino, was the largest capital markets conference in the world, according to the Structured Finance Industry Group. With over 6,300 registered attendees, and I suspect thousands more who came to Vegas to attend meetings without registering for the conference, it’s hard to imagine…

Since 2015, we here at Crunched Credit have tracked, followed and discussed the developments (or lack thereof) concerning the Immigration Investor Program, more commonly known as the “EB-5 Visa Program.” Throughout the past year, we’ve witnessed the approval of several extensions of the EB-5 Visa Program and in each instance, no substantive changes were included—these extensions were solely put in place in order to prevent the expiration of one of the most successful investment programs.
Continue Reading New Year! New Administration! Same EB-5 Dilemma!

What if Dodd-Frank and Basel III were to largely go away? Eliminating Dodd-Frank has been a hobbyhorse of Representative Hensarling, the chair of the House Services Committee, for several years and has figured prominently in President Trump’s campaign talking points. But the conventional wisdom has been that any sort of transformational uprooting of the Dodd-Frank and Basel III thicket was unlikely.

That’s what I thought, too. In fact, I have bloviated to that point in the press and on podiums many times. From the moment when everyone’s thinking was refocused that November 9th morning, I had thought that while major disruptions of many things were in the cards, Dodd-Frank and the Basel III architecture really weren’t on the menu. Now I’m starting to wonder. Sure, I still think major retrenchment is not going to happen, but my conviction that it’s impossible is what now gives me pause. Let’s face it, while rarely in doubt, I’m wrong a lot.

So just in case I am wrong, yet again, and some version of repeal or replace happens for Dodd-Frank and Basel III is rejected or slow-walked to death, what might that mean? It’s time to start planning for alternative facts.
Continue Reading Alternative Facts? A World Without Dodd-Frank and Basel III

The doctrine of substantive consolidation (generally- the power of a bankruptcy court to consolidate the assets and liabilities of affiliated entities in bankruptcy) is a recognized remedy exercised by bankruptcy courts – one that strikes fear into the hearts of many lenders. Justifiably so. The doctrine can be employed to order the substantive consolidation of related-debtor entities in bankruptcy and it can also be employed to substantively consolidate the assets of a debtor in bankruptcy with those of a related entity that is not a debtor in bankruptcy. Picture this: A parent entity files for bankruptcy and all the goodies are in a series of subsidiaries and the companies have never respected corporate niceties. The bankruptcy court presiding over the bankruptcy of the debtor-parent entity orders that the non-bankrupt SPE borrower will be dragged into bankruptcy and its assets used to satisfy the creditors of both the SPE borrower and the parent. Ta da.
Continue Reading Substantive Consolidation: It’s Alive and Well (or Maybe Just Alive)

Financial Regulation Reform Tracker

The Trump administration and Republican Congress have big plans for the next four years.  The financial industry could face a complete policy 180 faster than the POTUS can tweet out 140 characters.  Or a delicately crafted executive order could have no actual real world impact at all.

To keep up with it all, we at…

HVCRE

Adding to the mountain of uncertainty for 2017 is how to interpret and implement (and…what is the fate of) the HVCRE (High Volatility Commercial Real Estate) regulations that came into effect January 1, 2015 (yup…that’s right…2 years and still no clarity) and which were implemented as part of the Basel III regulatory framework.  So what…

This is all about the difficulty of taking the punch bowl away from a roaring good party. Over the past several weeks a number of major banks folded under enormous pressure from the US DOJ to settle fraud claims resulting from the sale of bonds prior to the financial crisis of 2008. The allegations here were that, as they have been in many many cases over the past several years, the banks knowingly sold bonds backed by crappy residential mortgage loans. Apparently, no one else had a clue that this stuff was crap! Who knew? These last suite of deals were relative bargains for the banks because, reportedly, the DOJ was highly motivated to get these deals done before Mr. Trump took the helm at the White House.

For some reason this calmed investors’ concerns.

I don’t get it.
Continue Reading Hey Guys, Let’s Sue a Financial Institution! Our Government at Play