Commentary on the Commercial Real Estate Debt Markets, Economics, Politics and More.
If it really didn’t matter, all this electioneering drama would be good fun, wouldn’t it? Throw in some sex and a car chase and this would work on Netflix! Regrettably, in the real world, it is less than entirely amiable.
It is probably true that most of us are anxious as the election carries so many notes…
Last year, I wrote a commentary entitled Contagion. That commentary was inspired by the early days of the meltdown of the crypto currency market (long before SBF made the whole space way more notorious with a whiff of polymorphous titillation and the reveal of sad politicians now bereft of a future income stream). The crypto mess…
Why am I still shocked that bad news gets no respect these days? No, I’m serious. It seems it doesn’t really matter when business, political or economic news stinks up the joint. The gestalt teases out a good news narrative.
Just think about it. CPI prints cool… great news! The economy is stable and earnings will keep growing, GDP will…
Good morning readers. I am taking the week off so my next commentary will come out the following. Hey it’s a holiday week (and I retired from Dechert yesterday…) a terrific coda to a rainy weekend so a week off seems a proportional response!). Next week, it will be the flaws and basic silliness of …
I seem to be on a self-help kick here (maybe I’ve got interest rate PTSD and simply need to talk about something else). Last week I was pleading for a return of the in-person closing and now here I am bloviating about on how to be a good entrepreneurial lawyer. This commentary is derived from numerous presentations…
Several weeks ago, I wrote a commentary called Funny Times in which I bemoaned the complete lack of coherent data, making the process of predicting the course of interest rates, cap rates and transactional velocity over the next couple of quarters awfully hard. This uncertainty, itself, contributes to a knock-on doom cycle sort of way…
Conspiracy theory fans, tin-foil hat wearers everywhere, Nostradamus wannabes, the broadly unhinged and, of course, our professional purveyors of doom and gloom roosting on evening cable news see patterns where there are none, embrace straight-line projections based on disparate and unrelated data and loudly and often shrilly bleat that the end is nigh. That’s all…
I have spoken to a number of people over the past months who have raised money or built technology to take advantage of a broadly anticipated distressed opportunity which was certainly to be occasioned by the pandemic. Did I miss it? Was I distracted by the First Family’s secret service chomping dog controversy or the upcoming UFO big reveal? Did it get by me when I simply wasn’t at my desk, making coffee?
Continue Reading Did the Distressed Debt Opportunity Slink by Me When I Wasn’t Looking?
I’m a great admirer of Jack Cohen and his periodic market commentary. I answered his last one and then after the two of us talked, we decided we’d publish them together as a duet. So here you go.
Continue Reading The Jack and Rick Show: Point and Counterpoint
On March 15, the day the Japanese Financial Services Agency (the “JFSA”) published its final risk retention rules, Dechert’s CLO team published an OnPoint discussing the new final Japanese risk retention rules and their impact on the CLO market.
Continue Reading Dechert OnPoint: Japanese Risk Retention: JFSA Favors Diligence Over Disruption
