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Dechert’s Antitrust Merger Investigation Timing Tracker (DAMITT) is at it again compiling data from 2015.

Fast Facts

  • DAMITT- Vuture graphics - 01-16-02Merger investigations in 2015 took an average of
    9.6 months to conduct (more than 1/3 longer than the average from 2011-2013)
  • Federal enforcement activity resulted in 37 significant merger investigations (7 generated complaints seeking to block proposed deals and 24 were resolved by consent orders)
  • Each of these figures was a record for the 5 years in which DAMITT has been tracking antitrust merger investigations

Continue Reading DAMITT – How Long Does it Take to Conduct U.S. Antitrust Merger Investigations? (Update)

That whole alternate universe thing, the conceit of so many sci-fi novels, is clearly not merely the product of fevered minds.  It’s real.  Or, at least it seemed awfully real after having been at the CREFC meeting in Miami and the MBA/CREF meeting in Orlando during the past month.
Continue Reading CREFC and MBA/CREF: A Hitchhiker’s Guide to Alternate Universes

The 2016 CRE Finance Council Industry Leaders Conference, held this week in Miami, was dominated by two topics– risk retention and liquidity. Almost all the forums, panels and presentations at the conference were overshadowed by the specter of risk retention and more general concerns about liquidity.  
Continue Reading CREFC Industry Leaders Conference 2016

globe - 01-16As we do each year at Crunched Credit, we take the end of a calendar year as an opportunity to stop and reflect on where we are, and what the next year might hold. Recognizing the certainty that a successful prediction is more a random event – a blind cat finding a dead mouse, than a product of wisdom and analytic prowess, it remains an important exercise.  It bears repeating that refusing to take a view is actually to make a choice, and a pretty silly one at that.  So as we at Dechert churn through our budgeting and planning process for 2016, we will make some assumptions about the economic environment and adjust our planning accordingly.  Let’s agree, we are going to be wrong about a lot of stuff – maybe everything – but that fact doesn’t excuse the critical need for having a macro view.
Continue Reading If Interesting and Prosperous is a Choice, I’ll Take Door Number Two: Perspectives on 2016

In an uninteresting turn of events last week, Congress has passed the Omnibus Bill, which contained a provision extending the EB-5 program until September 30, 2016, with no other changes to the program. As previously discussed, the last couple of months have been filled with substantial discussions and the introduction of potential legislation aimed at reforming the program, but at the end of the day, Congress has decided to “kick the can down the road” for another couple of months.
Continue Reading With Its End in Sight, EB-5 Survives!

capitalEarlier this year we discussed the uncertain future of the EB-5 Visa Program, one of the most successful inbound investment programs of recent years, as evidenced by the $5.2 billion dollars the program has generated in the past ten years alone. Although the EB-5 Visa Program was set to expire on September 30, 2015, Congress approved a temporary extension that allowed the program to continue through December 11, 2015. But notwithstanding the growing popularity and success of the program and the enthusiasm about it from US domestic developers and property owners, it has always engendered some concerns and criticism.  And so, here in early December, its future hangs in the balance. Supporters say the program should be renewed because it generates employment opportunities and funds domestic businesses that rely on these types of investments, but critics claim the program is poorly regulated and tainted by fraud and a certain odor of unseemliness. With the potential expiration of the program set to occur later this week, it is uncertain whether the program will lapse, become permanent, be temporarily extended “as is”, or extended with significant reformations.
Continue Reading The Death of EB-5 Has Been Greatly Exaggerated

Golden_turkey-01As is our tradition here at Crunched Credit, each year, about this time, we award our Golden Turkey Awards.  Once again, I must say that we are blessed, blessed with so many worthy candidates.  Our government, our courts, the regulatory estate both here and in Europe and around the world and the political class in general have once again vied with verve and imagination and breathtaking persistence to win a spot on our acclaimed list.  For those of you who we must disappoint, please accept our heartfelt apologies.  Yes, you screwed up and did stupid things breathtakingly well, just not as well as this year’s winners.
Continue Reading CrunchedCredit.com’s 6th Annual Golden Turkey Awards

The way the new Basel III High Volatility Commercial Real Estate Lending Rule (HVCRE) was crafted, and is being enforced, is insane. We’ve written about this before.  This is one of the purest examples of the regulatory apparatchik’s mule-headed refusal to look at data or engage with the banking establishment to develop thoughtful and effective rules. I think I saw a thoughtful and effective rule once.
Continue Reading HVCRE: Surrender Is Not An Option