September 2011

A few weeks ago the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) released a white paper entitled “An Evaluation of Large-Scale Mortgage Refinancing Programs,” analyzing the potential impact of a so-called stylized refinancing program (more on that in a minute) that would promote widespread mortgage refinancing (or so they say..more on that too).Continue Reading Thoughtful Refinancing or Lipstick on a Pig?

My team and I have spent the better part of the past eight weeks dealing with Irish loans and other portfolios of…stuff. While the conduit market was imploding, pipelines were being aggressively repriced and loan production was shifting into a very low gear, there has been a full scale feeding frenzy for portfolios of seasoned loans. While new loan originations were being dragged through the knot hole of torturous and ultimately paralytic analysis, millions of dollars were spent in high speed car chases for billions of dollars of seasoned loans in awkward, brief and brutal auctions.

Cognitive dissonance anyone? These are alternate universes. In the Ordinary Course Loan Origination Universe, every proposal suffers the death of a thousand cuts: “OK, maybe it’s a pretty good loan but I need to really understand what happens if the anchor tenant leaves, the president of the management company gets arrested and an asteroid hits Ohio. What exactly happens in the cash flow?”  In the Alternate "Bid ‘Em Up Universe", crappy reps, document defects and weird deal features? Fine! Win the bid!
 Continue Reading And the Momentum is Going Which Way?

Returning from a Labor Day weekend spent cleaning up after Irene, here are some notes as I clean out the desk drawer of Summer 2011: 

  • I spent the first week of August with my family on Martha’s Vineyard as the Dow Jones lost 1000 points, bond spreads blew out, securitized lending ground to a halt and the United States lost its triple-A credit rating. Past that, it seems the market held things together pretty well in my absence.
  • Not altogether unsurprising, but still notable that during the trading days following the U.S. downgrade, treasury yields decreased, leaving some doomsday investors scratching their heads. Of course, the thing about betting on the end of the world is that you can only be right once.
  • The third week of August saw the release of almost simultaneous reports that residential mortgage interest rates hit all-time lows and residential mortgage applications hit 15-year lows.
  • Meanwhile, the FHFA is suing 17 or so of the nation’s largest banks for billions in losses incurred during pre-bubble subprime securitizations. Many analysts are asking when (if?) the U.S. will stop punishing banks.

Continue Reading Summer Winds

On August 17, the final rules from the SEC came out (“Rules”) regarding an ABS issuer’s duty to file Exchange Act reports — specifically, if and when an issuer can suspend reporting.

The Rules specify that, effective September 22, the duty to file periodic reports under the Exchange Act will be suspended if all outstanding ABS are held by affiliates of the depositor or if no ABS are outstanding.

Before the enactment of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act of 2010 (the “Dodd-Frank Act”), the obligation to file certain Exchange Act reports was automatically suspended for any fiscal year after the year in which the issuer’s registration statement became effective or, for offerings of ABS shelf takedowns, the fiscal year after the takedown. Prior to the Dodd-Frank Act, most ABS issuers could and did take advantage of the suspension. Section 942(a) of the Dodd-Frank Act amended Section 15(d) of the Exchange Act by eliminating the automatic suspension of the duty of ABS issuers to file Exchange Act reports for transactions in which the ABS are held by fewer than 300 persons and authorized the SEC to issue rules providing for the suspension or termination of an ABS issuer’s reporting obligations.Continue Reading SEC Clarifies Exchange Act Reporting for ABS Issuers