The shear complexity of the modern world makes fools of us all. It’s no wonder that conspiracy theories, just plain weird ideas and deeply counterfactual views abound these days. We don’t like to be bewildered or shocked by unexplainable events, and, regrettably we confront plenty of these every day. Confronted with the inexplicable, it is … Continue Reading
South Beach played host to the 2018 CREFC January Conference last week, as roughly 1,800 of our best friends in the CRE lending and securitization industry assembled in Miami to reflect on another year gone by and to muse about what’s in store (or out of store, in the case of retail) for 2018. In … Continue Reading
This commentary is not customarily about politics, although those with a subtle cast of mind might get an inkling of some my personal views from my always dry and balanced language. However, right now, it’s hard not to think explicitly about politics and the new Trump administration.… Continue Reading
I’d like everyone to go out and buy a copy of Professor Paul Mahoney’s slender new book, Wasting a Crisis – Why Securities Regulation Fails. Paul is a brilliant guy. Until this spring, he was the dean of the University of Virginia School of Law where he is the David and Mary Harrison Distinguished Professor … Continue Reading
And now to return to our commentary a few weeks back about the stultifying impact of ill-thought through rules and regulations (at best) (Brexit has intervened). This is our Regulatory State which broadly attempted to pick winners and losers and modify market behavior, to get an engineered outcome by using the blunderbuss of proscriptive rules … Continue Reading
The Great Equity Correction of 2015 that is now being enjoyed by all of us is a correction, and not the beginning, of the Great Bear Market of 2015 (from my lips to God’s ears). It reminds me of just how little we know about how all complex systems, like the global financial market (and … Continue Reading
After years of delays, changes and significant debate, the Volcker Rule is now, largely, in full effect. Sold to a sometimes intellectually incurious Congress and the electorate as a central piece of legislation to limit systemic risks to the financial system, the Volcker Rule, among other things, prohibits “banking entities” from engaging in proprietary trading … Continue Reading
We at Crunched Credit have taken a bit of a pause of late. It is, of course, the dog days of summer. But it’s time to get back into the fray. Let’s start by noting the doldrums seem to have taken a pass. From where we sit, the markets seem to be in robust health. … Continue Reading
A few steps forward and a giant leap back. This familiar phrase might be the perfect summary of the CLO market’s Volcker Rule roller coaster since December 2013. A few weeks ago we wrote about the Federal Reserve Board’s (the “Fed”) less than satisfying “fix” to address what the market has perceived as one of … Continue Reading
On April 7th the Federal Reserve Board (the “Fed”) announced that it would provide banking entities with two additional one-year extensions to conform their ownership of CLOs covered by the Volcker Rule. The Fed stated that it would act on these extensions in August of 2014 and 2015. The Fed’s action would extend the conformity … Continue Reading
Befitting the holiday season the regulators recently decided to bestow upon us all the much anticipated (dreaded?) Volcker Rule. At 1100 pages of truly riveting reading material, Volcker has certainly given all of us plenty to wade through during these recent cold winter weeks and much to the surprise of the structured credit industry there … Continue Reading
It’s the Christmas season and this week we got the Volcker Rule. How seasonably appropriate! Now, I get the whole Christmas trade. You’re good, you get toys; bad, coal in the stocking. But this is bad in a regifted, four-year-old fruit cake sort of way. My desk now groans under the 1100 pages of Volcker … Continue Reading
Dow at 16,000, government up and running and the first Single-Family Rental deal now safely in investors’ hands – we are in pretty good shape. As is our tradition here at Crunchedcredit.com, we present to you our nod to the stories and happenings that struck us as amusing or important. (Or both). (Or neither).… Continue Reading
There’s a lot of talk these days about the growth of a shadow banking market. Shadow is right! The growth of the commercial lending market outside of the universe of insured depository institutions and life insurance companies is real and its growth is accelerating, yet it is not easy to discern its size, shape and … Continue Reading
Arguably the largest gathering of capital markets professionals in the world, ASF 2013 had over 5,300 registrants as of Monday morning according to Tom Deutsch, Executive Director, American Securitization Forum. Vegas is bustling and it’s always a pleasure to conveniently be out of town when there’s messy weather back east.… Continue Reading
Dechert’s securitization team is looking forward to the American Securitization Forum 2013 (“ASF 2013”) conference starting this Sunday, as it is expected to be once again the largest capital markets conference in the world. ASF 2013 is expecting over 4,500 participants who will all convene at the Aria Hotel and Convention Center in fabulous Las … Continue Reading
The election’s over and elections matter we’re told, albeit most of the denizens of Washington seem to have remained in their seats. The fiscal cliff awaits. We wait, with various levels of trepidation, for a workable compromise or, perhaps, to find out that life goes on regardless of what our elected leaders do. A bit … Continue Reading
In the world of magical realism which produced that paragon of legislative genius known as Dodd-Frank, I have had energy for only a bit of remote intellectual annoyance over the impact of the part of the Rule commonly known as “Volcker”.… Continue Reading
Back from vacation … The sheer joy of re-engagement cannot be captured in words. But, can there be a better way of restarting than perusing FinReg? Being the parochial structured finance lawyer that I am, I start with Subtitle D with the Potemkin village-like name of "Improvements to the Asset Backed Securitization Process" and Section … Continue Reading
The Senate reconvened reconciliation hearings at noon today with a deal brokered yesterday to place the new financial watchdog agency within the auspices of the Federal Reserve, rather than establishing an independent agency. This compromise by Congressional Democrats – which is engendering strong opposition from some important constituencies – could indicate a growing desperation to get … Continue Reading
We’ve been promised that the House and Senate financial reform bills will be reconciled in a highly transparent and thoughtful way and be wrapped up and ready for the President’s signature by Independence Day. I’m trying to be upbeat about this. There are, after all, substantial benefits to be obtained from certainty, and once this … Continue Reading
