ASF 2011 kicked off yesterday, February 6, at the Orlando World Center Marriott.  Dechert attorneys Malcolm Dorris, Ralph Mazzeo, Patrick Dolan, John Timperio, Cindy Williams, Andrew Pontano, Lorien Golaski and I are hosting a cocktail party for clients and friends here this evening.

Congressman Scott Garrett (R-NJ), Chairman of the House Financial Services Subcommittee on Capital Markets and Government-Sponsored Enterprises (GSEs), delivered the featured address this morning, February 7. In his new role as Chairman, Congressman Garrett will be a key player in the debate over the future of the GSEs, the implementation of the Dodd-Frank Act and the continued development of a legislative framework for a covered bonds market in the U.S.Continue Reading ASF 2011 Kicks Off in Orlando, Florida

I’m sitting in the Grand Ballroom at the JW Marriot (filled to capacity) and listening to Tucker Carlson give his thoughts on likely GOP challengers to the President. I’ve seen him before – he did a great bit with Paul Begala a few years ago at the MBA in San Diego; very likable and very, very funny (told a great story about receiving a call from Donald Trump that I don’t think I can reprint here). His early pick for the Republican nominee is New Jersey’s Chris Christie.Continue Reading CREFC Day 2: Tucker Carlson, Chuck Schumer and Dodd-Frank

The industry descended on our Nation’s Capital this morning for the 2011 CREFC conference: "Commercial Lending: The New World Order". It was -2 at Logan when my shuttle took to the air – needless to say I’m more than happy for the opportunity to spend a few days with friends, clients and colleagues in a warmer climate. (Current DC temperature is 24 degrees – not quite Stone Crabs at Joe’s, but I’ll take what I can get.) Continue Reading CREFC Day 1: Penn Avenue Freeze Out

I’m writing from Pennsylvania Station on a particularly bad day for our national rail service (Amtrak) – apparently the heavy rains and gusts wreaked havoc with electrical wires running both North and South, delaying (or cancelling) every Acela, Keystone, Silver Meteor, Silver Star and Vermonter scheduled to leave our country’s busiest transport hub. The (woefully underrated) holiday movie Love Actually opens with Hugh Grant’s musing that when faced with the general gloominess of the world he considers the smiles of arriving Heathrow passengers as they greet their waiting loved ones. On this first day of December and first night of Hanukkah, however, I’m fearful that Mr. Grant would be sorely disappointed in the zeitgeist of the half-million or so travelers looking to depart for Stamford and Boston, Philadelphia and DC and the balance of the Northeast Corridor.Continue Reading Midnight Train to Boston: Dechert Speaks at IMN in NYC

CREFC and MBA. MBA and CREFC. Tied at the hip. Danny Kaye and Bing Crosby? (For those of an age or inclination to have watched White Christmas recently). After a period of open and somewhat notorious and perhaps a little embarrassing competition, these two trade organizations have to settle down and get along for the benefit of the industry which they both serve. The good news is that the early indicators are positive.Continue Reading Can’t We Just Get Along

On October 20th at the Charlotte City Club, Dechert partner David Harris spoke on an ASF Sunset Seminar panel titled “FDIC’s Final Securitization Safe Harbor – Understanding the New Rules.”  I won’t spend too much time on the background of the FDIC’s Old Safe Harbor Rule but will tell you that the Transitional Safe Harbor Rule continues to have a place even though we have a New Safe Harbor Rule (adopted on September 27, 2010), because the New Safe Harbor Rule extends the Transitional Safe Harbor Rule so that transfers of assets into securitizations made on or prior to December 31, 2010 are permanently grandfathered and not subject to the conditions of the New Safe Harbor Rule.  Following?
Continue Reading Securitizations: An Old Rule, a Transitional Rule and a New Rule (and we’re not talking Good, Better, Best)

The final day of ABS East in Miami closed on Tuesday late afternoon and we’re back home with no suntans.

Those of us who didn’t overdo it on Monday evening (we won’t mention names) started Day 3 at a panel discussion titled “Lessons from the Financial Crisis: Required Steps for Rebuilding the Investor Base and Future Sources of Liquidity.”

Talking about RMBS, the consensus is that the economics just aren’t working for issuers, let alone the other impediments to getting deals done these days. Current interest rates on jumbo mortgage loans are too low. Over the next six months, however, at least one panelist thinks spreads will come in and the dearth of alternative investment grade securities that are attractive to investors will help the RMBS sector.

One panelist said that too much leverage cracked the world economy and if institutions become so highly levered again, it will happen again. Insofar as regulations are concerned, many of us agree with him that it is irresponsibility that needs to be regulated.
 Continue Reading ABS 2010 Concludes With High Winds and Little Sun

Dechert attorneys kicked off ABS East by hosting a Day 1 cocktail party at the Fontainebleau that was well attended by our friends and clients.

Day 2 of ABS East is underway. The Monday opening panel– Restoring Confidence and Rebuilding the Industry: The Role of Securitization– drew a pretty full house.

The general consensus is that the regulatory bodies are in the way and will cause delay in the recovery of the securitization market. I won’t go so far as to claim it wasn’t broke and didn’t need some fixing, but it’s clear the fixing to come is going to take a while. Without definitive rules, potential issuers can not evaluate the cost to enter the market. If we had a more targeted response to our problems from Congress and the regulators we could avoid this delay.

On the resi front, clearly the GSEs have crowded out private issuance, which has been facilitated by Congress and the Fed. Whereas commercial real estate found a natural bottom, the feeling is that resi never did. And, as one panelist put it, "distressed loans continue to pose a lingering cloud preventing meaningful recovery." The question was posed as to why there was nothing much after Redwood in the resi space. Again, the GSEs are dominating that space. Conforming loan limits have never been higher and it’s increasingly more difficult to even qualify for a jumbo loan under current underwriting criteria. With CMBS, it’s possible to get a reasonable number of loans. RMBS requires many more loans and there’s competition for the best loans.Continue Reading Live From the ABS East

We’re looking forward to ABS East October 3-5. More than 2,200 attendees are expected to gather at the Fontainebleau Miami Beach to discuss current topics in securitization.  Hot topics this year include Lessons from the Financial Crisis, Restoring Confidence and Rebuilding the Industry, the Role of Securitization in Revitalizing the Economy, Assessing the Changing Face

The general theme of the American Securitization Forum Sunset Seminar held on Wednesday at Dechert’s NY office was the unintended consequences of the Dodd-Frank Act. Our largest conference room was packed with over a hundred securitization industry players all searching for the best predictions on the shape of the massive amount of regulations coming our way over the next few months. First on the agenda was a discussion of the repeal of Rule 436(g) and the resulting Securities Act liability for rating agencies. Dodd-Frank’s intent was to improve the value of ratings by making rating agencies more accountable to investors. Unfortunately, the rating agencies would not consent to their ratings being disclosed and the entire public securitization market was stopped cold. Not helpful for a market struggling to return to "normal.” We have the temporary fix issued July 22 of this year in the form of an SEC No-action letter green lighting the omission of ratings in registration statements, but what happens next? Most likely– the SEC will amend Reg AB Items 1103 and 1120 to not require ratings in registration statements. However, the SEC is considering requiring ratings in non-ABS registration statements, so how likely is this most likely solution really? Other ideas—in no particular order of likelihood: Congress will reinstate 436(g). Doubtful. The SEC will extend the No-action letter indefinitely. Perhaps. Ratings agencies assume the liability or are indemnified by issuers. Maybe. One panelist predicted that in the short run, we’ll have uncertainty; and in the long run, more uncertainty. Consensus is that there’s a long road ahead and harmonization amongst the regulators and applicable agencies is key. Also keep in mind as this unfolds that rating agency accountability is also to be achieved under Dodd-Frank by new private rights of action against ratings agencies (and other parties) leading perhaps to nationally certified class actions. As a result, the rating agencies will be seeking comfort and indemnity from issuers on the accuracy of data given to them in the course of their diligence.

The discussion turned to conflicts of interest and the prohibition against engaging in any transaction that would result in a material conflict of interest with respect to any investor for one year following closing (other than hedging activity or market-making/sales to provide liquidity for the ABS). An example of this conflict would be underwriting ABS then shorting the synthetic ABS that references the first ABS. One issue raised with respect to compliance is the problem of information barriers between departments at investment banking institutions.
 Continue Reading ASF Sunset Seminar: What to Expect from the Dodd-Frank Rulemakings