Leading with the good news, the commercial mortgage finance market is back and growing at a brisk pace. From a few standalones in the fourth quarter of 2009, we’ve gotten to a remarkable place. Even during the first half of 2010, while lenders were hesitantly starting to lend, precious few lenders actually had real balance sheet availability for securitization. That changed. We’re back!
Almost as soon as these markets began to function again, complaints about the quality of the loans began to bubble up. OK, LTVs remain modest and, broadly, we’re not underwriting pro forma income, but structural rigor and simplicity did not long endure. Give me a break. The joke has always been that our business had a seven year cycle and five year memories so that once in every cycle we’d recapitulate the errors of the last. But five months?Continue Reading Seven Year Cycles and Five Month Memories