Reflections on the 2013 CREFC Distressed Debt Summit

Last week, we and a few of our colleagues here at Dechert attended CREFC’s 2013 Distressed Debt Summit. Echoing the mood at January’s CREFC conference, the mood at the NY Athletic Club last week was upbeat about the CMBS market as a whole but the general sentiment, with respect to the distressed debt market, is that good deals (in other words, deals worth making) are harder and harder to come by.

Many of the panelists illustrated this general sentiment by noting that:

(1) spreads are compressing—strike that—have compressed,

(2) it is harder and harder to get the yields desired (again, something we can all probably relate to),

(3) it is challenging to find distressed debt worth buying (would Europe just hurry up and sell already??),

(4) low interest rates are making this a good time to be a borrower but the concern regarding refinanceability in 5-10 years is starting to creep into the market (but not enough worry to stop lending—thank goodness!),

(5) risk retention and all of the bad things that will likely go with it (freezing the B-piece buyers market, making investment grade bonds illiquid if B-piece buyers buy them to make the risk retention thresholds and then have to hold onto them (who thought of this again?), CMBS market becoming less competitive as a result (good news for lifecos)…) are on folks’ minds, especially those in the B-piece bracket, and

(6) Europe’s crisis is looming on the horizon (this may be the Black Swan in Camo).

At this point in 2013, it appears that the market is bustling. Now, in the U.S., if only the regulators will either act or not act (the latter being our desired outcome) and bring finality to the guessing game and, with respect to Europe, well…we’d like to think that the proposed legislation regarding the safety of bank deposits in Cyprus, for example, will make the US more and more attractive (which isn’t a bad thing) and at some point, we will see banks selling portfolios like we saw over the past two years in the U.K. but for now we are enjoying the bustle!

By: Krystyna Blakeslee and David Pildis
 

Distressed Debt Conference in Bloom in NYC

The warm weather is not the only thing descending on New York City this week as CREFC hosts its annual Distressed Debt Summit at the New York Athletic Club overlooking Central Park. March in New York City is famous for the Big East Tournament (speaking of distressed…), St. Patrick’s Day parades and love blooming along with the flowers. But it won’t be all buzzer beaters, green beer, horse carriage rides and proposals in the park as industry leaders look to discuss the market trends and opportunities in the distressed debt market for 2013.

The conference kicks off on Wednesday with a series of panels discussing distressed debt issues and opportunities for 2013. First up is a panel titled “Market Trends and 2013 Opportunities,” moderated by TriMont’s John D’Amico. The panelists will include David Harrison of PNC Real Estate/Midland Loan Servicers, Gregg Chiota of Garrison Investment Group, Shari Linnick of Trepp, Bliss Morris of First Financial Network and Brian Olasov of McKenna, Long and Aldridge.

The discussions continue throughout the day on Wednesday and include panels such as “Creative Workout Structures” (hosted by Joe Sarcinella of Thompson and Knight) and “New Capital, Bridge and Rescue Lending and Equity” (hosted by Greta Guggenheim of Ladder Capital Finance LLC).

Next up, the balance sheet lenders will take center stage as Dechert’s own Rick Jones moderates a panel on balance sheet lender viewpoints. The panelists will be David Bouton of Citigroup Global Markets, Mike Moran of Allstate Investments, Elizabeth Fitzpatrick of Bank of America, Brian Furlong of NYLIM, Ivan Lehon of Ernst & Young LLP and Greg Null of Carlton Fields. This all-star group will discuss opportunities in the distressed debt market for portfolio lenders as well as hurdles portfolio lenders face in the distressed debt market.

Next up, the mezzanine lenders get a word in edgewise during the “Tranche Warfare” panel moderated by Bill O’Connor of Thompson & Knight. And it wouldn’t be a distressed debt conference if the special servicers didn’t get a say – day one of the conference closes out with “Special Servicer’s Roles in CMBS Secondary Markets” in a panel hosted by Kevin Donahue of C-III Capital Partners. Panelists include Jim Callahan of Pentalpha Capital Group, Bill Landis of Raith Capital Partners, Lea Overby of Nomura Securities International, Isaac Pesin of LNR Partners LLC and Tom Ruffing of CT Investment Management Co., LLC. The panel will discuss structural changes in CMBS 2.0/3.0 as well recent trends and current challenges of special servicing in the debt markets and is sure to be riveting.

Day two starts bright and early with a panel on exit strategies (moderated by Jan Sternin of Berkadia) and continues with “Enforcement of Foreclosure Rights” (moderated by Craig Welin of Frandzel Robins Bloom & Csato). The conference closes out by lunchtime on Thursday with back-to-back panels on the perspective of the B piece buyer, moderated by Nelson Hioe of Raith Capital Partners, and of owners and operators, respectively. Wrapping up at 12:30 on Thursday will give everyone an opportunity to network with old and new friends, and possibly sneak over to the Garden for day three of the Big East Tournament.

Dechert will continue to blog throughout the conference, and we look forward to seeing many of you there. Welcome to New York.

By: Krystyna Blakeslee and David Pildis
 

ASF 2013 ("Viva Las Vegas")

Dechert's securitization team is looking forward to the American Securitization Forum 2013 (“ASF 2013”) conference starting this Sunday, as it is expected to be once again the largest capital markets conference in the world. ASF 2013 is expecting over 4,500 participants who will all convene at the Aria Hotel and Convention Center in fabulous Las Vegas.

ASF 2013 will feature a myriad of panel discussions on a wide array of topics focusing on the securitization industry and the abundant opportunities (and head winds) that the industry faces as we settle into 2013. The conference kicks off on Sunday and continues through Wednesday with a series of substantive panels focusing on the critical policy changes confronting the securitization industry, including Dodd-Frank securitization regulatory reforms, risk-based capital regulations, GSE reform, and other federal and state legislative priorities.

Additional programming will address current business developments and the outlook for all securitization asset classes and product types, including CLOs, CMBS, RMBS, credit card ABS, student loan ABS, covered bonds, and other re-emerging sectors.

Given the increased role the various regulatory agencies continue to play within the securitization industry, it is particularly apropos that the featured speaker on Monday morning will be Thomas Curry, Comptroller of the Currency, and the featured speaker on Tuesday morning will be Troy Paredes, a Commissioner with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

On Monday, we expect the newest regulations from the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (the “Bureau”) to be among the most discussed topics. The Bureau released the long awaited Qualified Mortgage Rule and the Ability-to-Repay Rule on January 10, 2013 as well as regulations regarding mortgage servicing on January 17, 2013. For more information on the rules and regulations, please see our Dechert OnPoint Updates here and here.

On Tuesday afternoon, Dechert Partner Cindy Williams will be speaking at a round table discussion of Dodd-Frank Section 619, commonly known as the Volcker Rule, and its implications for structuring and issuing asset-backed securities.

ASF 2013 will arrive as Dechert’s CLO team, led by Partners John Timperio and Cindy Williams, celebrates its top ranking as issuer’s counsel for U.S. CLOs by deal volume and deal count for 2012 and a close second as underwriters’ counsel for both deal volume and deal count, according to the statistics compiled by the Asset-Backed Alert’s ABS Database.

All indicators are that 2013 will be a great year for Dechert and all the work it does within the securitization landscape and there is no doubt that ASF 2013 will serve as a significant spring board for the securitization industry as a whole.

In addition to John Timperio and Cindy Williams, Dechert Partners Pat Dolan, Malcolm Dorris, Ralph Mazzeo and James Waddington will be in attendance. Dechert Associate Laurie Nelson will also be blogging from the ASF 2013, so in this case at least, what happens in Las Vegas will not stay in Las Vegas. We are all looking forward to seeing many of you there.

By: Ralph Mazzeo, Sean M. Solis, and John C. Bumgarner

 

CREFC Day 2: Riding the Wave

After a night of fun at Dechert’s party at the SLS Hotel, many of us needed a pick-me-up on Tuesday morning. Those of us that dragged ourselves out of bed and into the roundtable discussion on market issues and opportunities were not disappointed. The quick hitting discussion by over two dozen industry insiders, including Crunched Credit’s own Rick Jones, provided no lack of entertainment or insight into the current state of the industry.

After morning sessions on reconstructing servicing to the new world order and the relative value of commercial real estate compared to other asset classes, former Florida Governor Jeb Bush delivered an impressive key note address in front of over 1,000 conference attendees. Governor Bush’s message – that America needs all-in leadership to focus on high growth policies – resonated with many at the conference, who gave the Governor a standing ovation at the conclusion of his speech.

After a quick question and answer session with Governor Bush, the afternoon began with sessions on hot topics in the industry, the outlook for CMBS in 2013, the future of mezzanine investing, and the continuing crises in Europe. Day 2 concluded with a very well attended panel on the evolution of controlling holder rights and conflicts of interest between controlling holders and special servicers in CMBS 2.0. The panel was moderated by Stephanie Petosa of Fitch Ratings and included Dechert’s Dave Forti, George Carleton of C-III Capital Partners, Julie Madnick of Ranieri Partners and Isaac Pesin of LNR.

Before we jet out of the Miami sunshine, the CREFC January conference will conclude on Wednesday with a final panel on the outlook for bank portfolio lending in 2013. As we write this from the balcony of the Loews Hotel, the rising tide continues to push gentle Atlantic waves further up the beach, overtaking several beach chairs. While those at the conference agree that the rising tide in the commercial real estate finance industry will continue through 2013, after two days of debate and discussion, we leave hoping that it does not sweep the sand out from under our feet. 
 

By: Matthew Clark and Ken Hackman

January Conference 2013: CREFC's Going to Miami

South Beach will welcome over 1200 lenders, borrowers, servicers, lawyers and other service providers to the January 2013 CREFC Conference for another party in the city where the heat is on. The conference kicks off on Monday with a series of forums for agency investors, high yield debt investors, issuers, portfolio lenders, servicers, B-Piece buyers and IG bondholders. The featured speaker Monday afternoon will be David Malpass, the president of Encima Global, an economic research and consulting firm serving institutional investors and corporate clients.

But it will not be all work and no play at this year’s January conference. Dechert will be hosting over 200 clients and colleagues for an evening of food and drink on Monday night from 6:30pm to 9:30pm at the SLS Hotel. We look forward to the opportunity to meet with many old and new friends.

Tuesday morning will begin with a lively roundtable discussion on market issues and opportunities for 2013. The roundtable will be followed by a panel hosted by KeyBank’s Marty O’Connor on the future of servicing and how servicers will adjust to the “melting ice cube” in the capital markets. The panelists will include Jose Becquer of Wells Fargo, Stacey Berger of PNC Real Estate/Midland Loan Servicers, John D’Amico of TriMont Real Estate Bank, Tim Mazzetti of Cohen Financial and Jan Sternin of Berkadia Commercial Mortgage.

The Tuesday morning session will close with a panel discussion on the relative value of commercial real estate against other asset classes. The panel will be moderated by Paige Hood of Prudential and will include Brian Casey of MetLife, Mike Moran of Allstate Investments, Mark Myers of Wells Fargo and Matt Salem of Rialto Capital Management. While attendees enjoy lunch, former Florida governor (and possible 2016 presidential candidate) Jeb Bush will deliver the keynote address.

After the keynote address, the mezzanine lenders will take the stage to discuss the resurgence in the mezzanine financing market and issues that investors may face in the coming year. The discussion will be led by Ed Shugrue of Talmage LLC and will include panelists Andrea Balkan of Brookfield Real Estate, Bruce Cohen of Ares Management, Randy Reiff of Macquarie Bank and Scott Weiner of Apollo Global Management.

An all-star group of CMBS lenders and investors will follow the mezzanine investors with a panel on the roadmap to 100 billion, and what it will take for the CMBS market to continue to grow in 2013. The CMBS panel will be moderated by Mike Mazzei of Ladder Capital and will include Matt Borstein of Deutsche Bank, Leland Bunch of Bank of America Merrill Lynch, Tim Gallagher of Morgan Stanley, Josh Mason of The Blackstone Group and Michael May of Cantor Fitzgerald.

The Tuesday afternoon session will continue with a panel hosted by Jeffrey Fastov of Sage Terrace Advisors on the ongoing crises in Europe and a panel hosted by Jon Strain of JP Morgan on the state of the market on non-traditional CMBS.

Tuesday afternoon will wrap up with a panel on how controlling class issues are being addressed in the current market. The panel will be hosted by Stephanie Petosa of Fitch Ratings and include Dechert’s Joseph Heil, George Carleton of C-III Capital Partners, Julie Madnick of Ranieri Partners and Isaac Pesin of LNR Partners.

The final panel of the January 2013 conference will address the outlook for bank portfolio lenders for 2013 and 2014 and issues facing portfolio lenders. Clay Sublett of KeyBank will lead the panel of Chris Albano of Citigroup, Marc McAndrew of PNC Real Estate, Greg Murphy of Natixis Real Estate Capital, Jeff Schor of Wells Fargo and Scott Towbin of JP Morgan.

Dechert will continue to blog throughout the conference, and we look forward to seeing many of you there. Welcome to Miami.  

By Matthew Clark and Ken Hackman

Optimism Abounds at the CREFC After-Work Seminar: "Lender Perspective: Current State of the Debt Markets & Trends for 2013"

As Philadelphians, it’s easy to think that 2012 has been a disappointment.  Our beloved Eagles are 4-9, the Phillies had the most disappointing season in recent history and the Sixers traded last year’s best player for someone who has not yet set foot on the court this season (to avoid any rage from hockey fans, we will omit any discussion of the state of the Flyers).

As morose as Philadelphians are these days when discussing our sports teams, it should not be a surprise to anyone in the commercial real estate finance industry that the latest in CREFC’s series of after-work seminars, held in Philadelphia on December 6, had a decidedly optimistic tone. The seminar included a distinguished panel of commercial real estate lenders, including Richard Bendit of Berkadia Commercial Mortgage LLC, Andy Coler of PNC Bank, Raphael Licht of Rait Financial Trust and Bernie Shields of M&T Bank.  The panel discussed the year in review for 2012 from the lender’s perspective, and pulled out their crystal balls to discuss industry trends for 2013.

There was general consensus among the panel that 2012 was a good year for lenders and that 2013 should be even better.  The head-winds of the great recession clearly gave way to at least a moderate tail-wind in 2012.  Each of the lenders represented on the panel increased its lending business in 2012 from 2011, and all expect the trend to continue in 2013.  The uptick in CMBS lending made the lending market more competitive in 2012, and each panelist expects a growing CMBS market to create even more competition in the year ahead.  The panelists also agreed that we can expect to see an increase in mezzanine and other subordinate financing in 2013.  With greater competition in the market, and a general increase in lending, the panelists believe that 2013 will be a good year for borrowers as well as lenders.

The Philadelphia CREFC after-work seminar was a preview of the discussions that we can expect at the CREFC January Conference to be held from January 14-16 at the Loews Hotel in South Beach, Miami.  We will again be live blogging throughout the conference.  We expect a great turn-out at the January Conference and more optimism for the year ahead.  Please check back with CrunchedCredit after the New Year for our annual preview.  As we’re writing this post, the Eagles just completed a last-second, come-back victory over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.  It looks like even Philadelphians may have some reason for optimism in 2013.

By: Ken Hackman and Laurie Nelson
 

Eurozone, CMBS Outlook and PSA Initiatives among Hot Topics at CREFC's Annual Conference

Next week, hundreds of industry participants will make their way to our Nation’s capital for CREFC’s Annual Conference.   

The Conference promises to provide a forum to explore the effect of increasing financial instability in the Eurozone as well as the opportunity to develop important industry initiatives.  CREFC’s PSA Task Force will kick things off on Monday morning with a discussion of the PSA simplification project (a project designed to standardize and simplify the servicing mechanics in pooling and servicing agreements).  Based on feedback from issuers during January’s Conference, the focus of the Task Force has shifted from developing a form Article III to creating proposed guidelines and language intended to work with issuers’ existing form documentation.  Later in the day, the Issuer’s forum will discuss a number of topics impacting CMBS issuance, including market outlook, market risks and regulatory changes.  The Conference’s keynote address will come from Pulitzer Prize-winning political columnist George F. Will, who will be sure to offer a unique viewpoint of the election-year political landscape.

 

On Monday evening, Conference Co-Chair Rick Jones and the balance of the Dechert contingent will host clients and colleagues for dinner at the top of the Hay Adams.  We look forward to the opportunity to catch up with our friends.  Stewart McQueen and Matt Ginsburg will be providing daily updates next week from the conference.

 

By: Stewart McQueen

CREFC January Conference Recap: Riding the Wave

The image of the cresting wave looming behind the dais in the Loews' Americana Salon during Douglas Holtz-Eakin’s keynote address posed a central, if unintended, question that was addressed by more than one speaker during the three-day conference.  Are we riding a wave to recovery or facing a deluge of maturing debt?  For most of the 1,200 industry participants that occupied Miami’s South Beach for CREFC’s annual January conference last week, there seems to be no certain answer (other than almost unanimous agreement that South Beach is a better Winter destination than our Nation's Capitol).

Notwithstanding, the overall tenor of the conference seemed to be a determined optimism projected against the overarching blanket of volatility.  European instability, a jobless recovery, a newly normalized, lumbering pace of economic growth and a constantly evolving regulatory framework continue to make uncertainty the only sure bet.  As one might expect, a number of clients we spoke with last week are adopting a cautiously optimistic demeanor for 2012 and plan to tread the market’s murky waters slowly.

Will CMBS rebound (or continue to rebound)?  Will the life co's and other non CMBS lenders be able to fill the void?  How will regulatory reform be implemented?  These questions are so 2010, and yet they stay with us.  Depending on who you believe, CMBS output in 2012 is estimated to be anywhere from $25 billion to $45 billion (compared to approximately $28 billion in 2011).  And even if the portfolio lenders have a gangbuster 2012 (which is, in fact, likely), they won't be able to bridge the void left by $360 billion of maturing debt this year.  As for Washington, we can’t even determine a cogent agenda for regulatory reform at this point, much less predict what the rules of the game will look like.

Perhaps we’ll have answers (or at least a lessened degree of uncertainty) by the mid-year in June.  

 

By:  Matthew Clark and Stewart McQueen

January Conference 2012: CREFC Brings its Talents to South Beach

Over a thousand lenders, borrowers, servicers, lawyers and other service providers have descended on Miami for three days of networking, meeting and doing things you just can't do in DC. After a Sunday spent checking in, catching up and Tebowing, the conference kicked off in earnest this morning. I started my day with a PSA Task Force meeting - an important industry initiative. The committee is working hard to develop a standardized format for the more mechanical aspects of a pooling and servicing agreement, with an eye toward making loans work for borrowers and servicers alike (Rick offered some prescient comments regarding the importance of emphasizing the exercise as something that will, at the end of the day, make the servicing of securitized loans more efficient and user friendly). As I type, I'm listening to the opening general session, an overview of CRE fundamentals and where we are in the cycle (the common themes being the effect of the jobless recovery and the specter of $700 billion or so of debt maturing in the next 24 months). Tonight, Dechert will welcome over two hundred clients and colleagues for dinner at Asia de Cuba - we are looking forward to a great opportunity to talk to our friends. Tomorrow's schedule is similarly packed, highlighted by a keynote address by Douglas Holtz-Eakin. We will continue to blog from the conference.

By Matthew Clark.

A Dodd-Frank Holiday Reminder: Ribbons, Reindeer and Rule 193

While wrapping your holiday presents, don’t forget about another regulatory gift that springs to life as of the new year: Rule 193 and the accompanying joys of Items 1111(a)(7) and 1111(a)(8) of Reg AB. The final rules for Dodd-Frank’s Section 945 – which we at CrunchedCredit.com have addressed before - are almost a year old and their effects are coming to a public transaction near you by requiring “issuers” (1) to perform (or have a third party perform) a due diligence review of a deal’s underlying assets with the aim of reasonably assuring that disclosure included in the related offering documents is materially accurate and (2) to disclose in offering documents the nature of the review, any findings or conclusions of the review and any details regarding assets that deviate from the disclosed underwriting criteria. And this is a gift that keeps on giving.

Even though Dodd-Frank got one of our Golden Turkey Awards, issuers doing public deals must heed these new rules. Some things are clear: Rule 193 only applies to registered deals after December 31, 2011 and does not extend to Rule 144A and private placements, and the rule does not detail the nature or type of the required due diligence reviews or the content of required disclosure.

One might ask: to what extent will issuers (or other securitizers) be subject to additional legal exposure? In CMBS land, we already do detailed loan-level disclosure subject to 10b-5 materiality standards. All securitizers already have detailed underwriting policies and procedures and mortgage loan sellers and sponsors understand the value of internal due diligence standards, so does this new rule really bring with it any new headaches? You bet. Here’s a few:

(1) Scope - the rule requires compliance by “issuers” but it remains unclear whether the goal of the regulators was to include other deal parties like sponsors, depositors or loan sellers within the scope of the new rule. Could the authors, having used the word “issuers,” intended to limit the scope to issuers? Unlikely, according to industry chatter so far; instead, the expectation is that the rule will apply to parties beyond the issuer, including sponsors and depositors. So loan sellers and their counsel must deal with this – at least for now.

(2) Experts - the rule permits the hiring of a third party to conduct the due diligence review but it also requires that the third party consent to being an expert for ’33 Act purposes if the issuer (or other securitizer) “attributes” the review to that third party. What if you hire and rely on your accountants to comfort diligence data? And what if your lawyers review loan documents? If you think that accountants and lawyers will sign up for expert liability under the ’33 Act, I’ve got a bridge for sale. So just steer clear of “attributing” the review to third parties, right? Not so fast: there is some unclear commentary and related discussions among deal parties, questioning exactly what types of third-party back-up reviews may require expert consent even if the securitizer does not fully attribute the review to the third party. This one is also playing out as we blog.

(3) Hot Potato (or Risk Allocation) – How the foregoing scope and expert considerations get fleshed out impacts how lawyers and deal parties will allocate risk including by way of drafting and backing up offering document disclosure, negotiating indemnification agreements and providing 10b-5/159/Reg AB negative assurance letters and opinions. 

Wait, there’s more holiday spirit included in the hang-em-high stocking stuffing provisions of Item 1111(a)(8) of Reg AB. A securitizer is required not only to disclose specific asset deviations with respect to underwriting criteria but they must also disclose the identity of the entity responsible for determining that an asset should be included in a deal pool notwithstanding its deviations. Never mind the Reg AB II certifications that we recently discussed here - anybody eager to sign up for these due diligence determinations? We blogged about this last year when the rule was first published and what we thought then remains true. Rule 193 is likely to expand issuer liability and legal concern while producing little in the way of better disclosure. Just what we need right now.

Seasons greetings! And more to come.

By: Devin Swaney

Summary of a CREFC After-Work Seminar: The Return of the Public Deal or the Regulator Strikes Back?

What’s with all these public CMBS offerings?  And what about all that rule-making?  The registered market has otherwise been frozen since the pre-crisis days, and the cloud of heavy-handed regulation looming over our heads is anything but an invitation to dust off your public shelf.  Moreover, given that some of those regulations may be (or have been) applied in the 144A context, shouldn’t one be concerned about the private market before we even think about re-entering the public space?  And all of that is without even considering the general mid-year market slump.  To address these critical questions and the state of the galaxy as we know it, CREFC held an after-work seminar recently, hosted by Dechert, entitled “Review and Outlook for Public CMBS Offerings.”

The seminar consisted of a panel of industry specialists representing issuer, investor and legal perspectives: Paul Vanderslice, Managing Director, Citigroup; our own Rick Jones, Partner, Dechert LLP; Tom Doherty, Executive Director, JP Morgan; Ken Cohen, Managing Director, UBS Investment Bank; Brian Furlong, Managing Director, New York Life; and Bruce Martin, Research Analyst, Fidelity. 

The group considered investor motivations related to the public/private distinction, including whether the appetite of some investors in registered securities is driven by limitations on the amount of private paper that they can soak up or driven by a particular desire to diligence the additional information that is available in a private context.  In addition, the panel emphasized the industry’s (thus far unsuccessful) effort to demonstrate to regulators that the CMBS space, in comparison to other asset classes, has traditionally provided voluminous (and adequate) disclosure with respect to underlying assets and deal structure, whether in a public or private context.  So maybe the line in the CMBS sand is not so bright when it comes to a) disclosure -  because public and private books are not that different; and b) investor satisfaction - because some investors just want and can handle more information, while others have limited capabilities to buy private deals. 

With respect to CMBS 2.0, the panel noted some trends across the board for public and private deals: among other things, the inclusion of (1) mortgage loan seller representations and warranties and related exceptions, (2) enhanced (e.g., Reg AB-compliant) asset-specific and party-specific information, (3) investor Q&A forums and (4) the role of the operating trust advisor (which we at CrunchedCredit.com have previously discussed). 

Unsurprisingly, the group could not avoid discussions of risk retention and premium recapture - hot topics that CrunchedCredit.com has also addressed before.  Additionally, the presentation provided timely regulatory updates, including life with (1) Rule 17g-5 (i.e., no talking to, and instead posting of materials for, the rating agencies), (2) Rule 17g-7 (i.e., comparing a deal’s reps to rating agency benchmarks), (3) Rule 15Ga-1 (i.e., reporting and disclosing repurchase demands) and (4) Rule 193 (i.e., requiring issuers to know their assets).

More generally, the panel expressed a common industry sentiment regarding the many regulatory efforts currently on the table:  just make the rules and we will figure it out from there.

If you missed this after-work episode and the related installment of updates, the instant replay is available here on CREFC’s website.  And one thing you can count on is that there is plenty more to come!

By Devin Swaney. 

It Just Gets Better and Better: Reg AB Redux

I just can’t schedule enough time in my day to worry about all the things that seem to demand to be worried about. As I write, this week the Dow closed 630+ down one day and bounced 600 points the next. Yikes.  Between that, the debt ceiling and downgrades, Dodd-Frank, the interminable drumbeat of hostility towards Wall Street and business coming out of the White House, the mess in Europe, the falling dollar, insanely low interest rates, high unemployment, the fact that somehow corporate America seems to still be earning bucket loads of money, and, in general the discomfiting disconnect between our still positive every day deal world and the angst, anxiety and drumbeat of awful news in the macro market, what should we think?  It makes my hair hurt.

But, drawing on my deep and boundless reserve of existential anxiety, I’ve now found a few free moments to worry about the SEC’s new re-proposal on shelf eligibility for asset-backed securities. This missive was released (pdf) on July 26, 2011, and comments are due by October 4, 2011. 

A year ago, hundreds of CMBS industry professional spent hundreds of hours of time wrapping our brains around AB 2.0, which in the SEC’s own words was a proposed rule that would “address the problems . . . by giving investors the tools they need to accurately assess risk and by better aligning the interests of the issuer with those of the investor.”   We worked with CREFC and MBA to provide comments, which I think were thoughtful and constructive.  I had hoped, perhaps naively, that this should have formed the basis of an ongoing dialogue between regulators and market participants to address what everyone agreed were problems in the structured finance environment. And then…nothing. Crickets.  The comment disappeared in the Stygian opacity of the SEC regulatory process and dialogue never happened.  We waited.

Now the SEC has spoken again, delivering up a number of wholly new concepts around shelf-eligibility through a “Re-proposal” of part of AB 2.0.

As far as CMBS is concerned, the Re-proposal does the following:

• Eliminates investment grade rating criteria for shelf registration;
• Re-structures the new CEO certification regarding securitized assets and the design of securitization;
• Requires the appointment in the transaction documents of a “credit risk manager” to review performance when certain trigger events occur;
• Inserts a required dispute resolution mechanic for requests of the issuer to re-purchase assets;
• Bakes into the transaction documents the mechanics to allow investors to address other investors in the transaction about deal concerns; and
• Requires all final transaction documents to be filed five days before pricing.

The Re-proposal strikes from Reg AB the risk retention provisions in light of the (soon?) to be issued joint regulatory risk retention regulations and, blessedly, punts the waterfall computer program provision (the notorious Python program requirement) to a subsequent re-proposal initiative.

Some of these might be good ideas and others are susceptible to becoming good ideas through a robust and open industry dialogue (OK, and some are just plain bad).  Off the top:

• No more investment grade rating test.  Who cares?
• The CEO certification seems a bad idea.  We have all the liability provisions of the existing securities laws to enforce good and transparent disclosure.  This seems just another opportunity for gotcha (and a big incentive not to be a business line CEO!).  What will this really do to improve disclosure?  I don’t think much.
• The credit risk manager seems a little like a part of what CMBS 2.0 operating advisors or trust advisors do today.  The Re-proposal ties the credit manager investigatory duties to certain trigger events, which are really not particularly relevant to CMBS.  But if the market is getting to a place which satisfies investors, why impose a new regulatory regime?
• I don’t think the investors will like the new resolution mechanic, and I don’t like it either.
• Providing a mechanic for investors to talk to each other is not the worst idea in the world, but the industry is already doing this with voluntary registration systems for investor communication.
• Providing transaction documents prior to the time of sale will be a nuisance.   Frankly, I don’t think investors get any benefit from it, but the world will not end if that has to become part of the game.

Personally, I’ve got to tell you, I don’t have time for this right now.  Don’t we collectively have enough on our plates to deal with?  It’s not so much the content of the Re-proposal which annoys me, but just the notion that we actually have to pay attention to another set of rules which will change the game yet again.  On the other hand, maybe since the original proposal was so flawed, this could be a net improvement, and the willingness of the SEC to re-propose here perhaps suggests the commencement of a positive dialogue.

We are going to re-launch a public CMBS market.  This week, in fact. Public deals will broaden the investor base (albeit diminishing the quality and scope of information available to IG investors).  As CMBS re-enters the public marketplace, the matters addressed by the original AB 2.0 and this new Re-proposal (and further promised re-proposals) will become increasingly relevant.

OK, so I’ll stop whining.   We need to get this public market right, and this is another chance to engage with the regulatory community to see if we can push it in that direction.  Another set of rules, another 60 days to comment.  Off we go!
 

By Rick Jones.

 

CREFC Convention Recap and Making Way For Duck Boats

Here in Boston, we've had a busy but productive week since the CREFC June Convention culminated –punctuated with more than a million hockey fans witnessing a parade of Duck Boats waddle through the Back Bay. The Convention itself saw a smaller (albeit similarly excitable) parade of lenders, borrowers, servicers and other industry participants descend on Manhattan for two days of networking, learning and discussion.

 

Indeed, the theme for the affair - On the Road Again - was apt and matched the overarching zeitgeist present in the lobby of the Waldorf. With perhaps $50b in insurance company lending and $40b in expected CMBS issuance expected by year's end, the industry is back to work in earnest. While eager issuers looked to a return of larger deals, cautious investors expressed some concern of perceived weakening in underwriting standards. Participants discussed the impact of this past spring's roll-out of CREFC's CMBS 2.0 market standards - a comprehensive initiative to provide consensus on Annex A, a standardized framework for loan underwriting principals, an expanded investor reporting package, a model set of CMBS representations and warranties and an efficient, workable model for dispute resolution when the reps go bad. (One particularly frequent topic of discussion was when (and if) issuers would widely adopt the form reps and warrants).

As could be expected, continuing regulatory developments commanded significant attention. Forefront on the minds of the industry, of course, are risk retention, rating agency reform, the status of covered bond legislation and what can be done with the GSE’s. Conversations on Premium Recapture divided investors and issuers – while issuers view the concept as a doomsday device with existential consequences for the CMBS market, investors take the view that it represents an effective risk-retention tool that has precedent in other structured-finance spheres (auto, credit card, etc.). All could agree, however, that the concept, as laid out in the NPR, requires significant refinement.

Day two continued with discussions of the return of a market for floating rate deals as fixed rate competition heats up. As I tweeted, more than a few participants discussed the re-invention of the CRE CDO as a viable financing model (yes, someone will find a way to get a CRE CDO done, and no, it will not be called a “CDO”). We at Crunchedcredit.com concluded the business end of the Conference with dinner and cocktails with close to 200 of our friends and clients at Quality Meats. The food was good and the room was full – very full – a physical manifestation of a market back at work. We were overjoyed with the size of the turnout and the opportunity to rub shoulders (literally) with so many of those we work with throughout the year.

By: Matt Clark

CREFC 2011 Opens In New York

For many of us, an annual right of summer's commencement, CREFC's mid-year conference has begun in earnest for the last time in Manhattan (we'll be in DC at this time next year). I'll also note that for the second straight year, the conference's first day coincides with Game 6 of a rather hotly contested playoff series (go Bruins). The rooms seem packed - attendance this year is about a 1000 - a significant increase from 2009 - 2010. "Recovery" is being spoken with straight faces - notwithstanding the fragility seen over the past few weeks. Conversations between issuers and investors continue to expose battle lines - how long until we see a $5 billion deal? Why doesn't this seem different than CMBS 1.0? When will we see a public deal? What will happen with risk retention? We at Crunchedcredit.com are looking forward to discussing these issues with all of you over the next two days. You can also follow us @crunchedcredit as we tweet from the #CREFC conference.

By: Matt Clark, Stewart McQueen, and Matt Ginsburg.
 

CMBS 2.0: Has the time come for an industry-form A/B Colender?

Early last decade, two Dechert partners, Tim Stafford and Dave Forti, published Mezzanine Debt: Suggested Standard Form of Intercreditor Agreement (pdf) in CMBS World. The article proposed a standard form of mortgage-mezzanine intercreditor that provided a portion of the bedrock upon which the architecture of CRE mezzanine lending would be built for the years to follow. At the time of its publication, burgeoning demand for mezzanine debt (and mezz lenders' desire to create liquidity in their positions) had created a tension among mezz lenders, bond investors and rating agencies - the absence of a form ICA resulted in mezz debt being an inconsistent and pricey financing alternative. The CMSA (now CREFC) form ICA made mezz lending more predictable, less expensive and easier to trade. 

Having closed on the acquisition of several A/B structures in past months, I’m wondering if, as our recovery continues, it could be time for a form A/B Colender? The basic architecture of the A/B Colender is already largely understood and could be effectively reduced to a widely-accepted formula. The waterfall, absent any deal-specific fee sharing arrangement, is pretty standard (pre-triggering event, Servicer fees, A interest, B interest and pro-rata fees; post-triggering event, Servicer, A interest, A principal, A costs and then to the B). Cure rights and purchase options could be standardized without necessarily limiting a B Note holder’s ability to negotiate changes from deal-to-deal. (That said, I’ve never quite understood how a B Note holder cures a non-monetary event of default, and in the past few years I think the A would be more than happy to accept a par pay-out on a defaulted loan regardless of whether the requirements of the Colender had been fulfilled). Limitations on transfers of interests in the B Note (more than 49% only to a Qualified Transferee) and the rights of the B Note holder to pledge or finance its interest are, again, largely standard across deals.

I think the two areas where some disagreement could arise would be the servicing transfer mechanic (from interim to PSA) and Controlling Holder control rights. Generally, the loan is administered by a servicer acting on behalf of the A Note - initially, pursuant to an interim servicing agreement; post securitization, pursuant to the PSA. The transition mechanic between interim and PSA can vary from deal-to-deal. Sometimes, the B note holder will have a chance to review and comment on the PSA, sometimes the parties will agree to a form of PSA (something much easier in the days when issuers had form PSA’s to attach), and sometimes, the Colender will limit changes to certain material terms or definitions (control appraisal events, for instance). With CREFC spearheading an effort to produce a form PSA (presumably containing market-standard provisions that adequately protect the holders of non-pooled components), at least some of the heartburn felt by issuers (“I can’t have the B Note holder holding me up!”) and B note holders ("I’m not getting jammed with a terrible PSA!") could be averted.

Controlling Holder control rights are probably among the most negotiated portions of these agreements - the list of consent and consultation rights ranging widely from deal-to-deal. In practice, however, it's not always clear that a long litany of controlling holder rights beyond the basics (i.e. rights that put the Controlling Holder at the nexus of a proposed workout) are necessarily that helpful when things hit the fan. And, of course, these rights could easily be negotiated on a deal-by-deal basis – why not start from a form? In addition, a form would allow for a more streamlined control appraisal mechanism (including standard rights for additional appraisals and threshold collateral) – especially if a form PSA should gain traction.

Like a lot of us, my experience with Colenders during the Crunched Credit era often followed a similar pattern - debt syndicated on co-lending arrangements that anticipated - no, needed - the A to be securitized; the servicing arrangements outside of the predicted PSA left vague, ill-defined (or, in some cases, just broken). And then the music died. (This is all more than somewhat understandable - few clients found it worthwhile to commission robust, fully-textured interim servicing agreements to administer freshly-minted mortgage loans during the months between origination and securitization. It's just that loose interim servicing arrangements and co-lenders dependent on a future PSA only work until they don't).

To be clear – I’m not suggesting each deal could be spit out on a standard form or that there isn’t significant value in thoughtful, zealous negotiation between parties on these points (I mean, I’ve spent the better part of my career having these conversations). But as CMBS 2.0 loans continue to be originated and sold, a model Colender could contribute to a more efficient market with reduced transaction costs.

 

By: Matt Clark

Dechert Hosts CREFC After-Work Seminar

Writing from the Acela again, en route to Back Bay Station after a short trip to New York to attend a CREFC After-Work Seminar we hosted. The space at our Bryant Park offices was full - I took a seat in the last row next to interim CEO John D'Amico (he seemed really pleased with the turnout). The meeting was the latest in a series of after-work seminars that CREFC is holding throughout the country (next stop is Dallas). The topic - “A Case Study in Lending from the Perspective of Both Portfolio and Conduit Lenders” - was moderated by Whit Wilcox (HFF) and included panelists Michael Shields (ING Real Estate Finance), Mike Doyle (CIGNA) and Schecky Schechner (Barclays Capital). The panel explored their thinking on loan applications from the perspective of the three corners of the CRE banking world - life insurance companies, bank balance sheet lenders and CMBS conduit lenders.

The discussion began with a summary of where we stand. Pace for domestic CMBS issuance is around $40b in 2011. Obviously, a small fraction of 2004 – 07, but still a big jump from 2010 (let's let '09 alone). Nine US deals have priced so far this year that I’m aware of, and the pipeline is equally encouraging, with reports of six more deals slated for May and June. It's important to note that this activity is occurring at a time of relatively significant uncertainty - no one is quite sure what the landscape will look like when the regulators finally declare victory (especially as it regards risk retention (see also here), and we're still waiting to see how 2.0 best practices will work their way into deals (for instance, whether issuers will adopt the form reps developed by CREFC). Meanwhile, the life companies, as a group, seem to have been the most obvious beneficiaries of the (heretofore) sluggish recovery of CMBS lending – they will essentially match CMBS lending this year and are similarly in-line with bank portfolio lending.

The presentation asked the panel to discuss their approach to a series of hypothetical properties – the stabilized, suburban office complex, the un-stabilized downtown office tower, the grocery-anchored retail development, the urban boutique hotel - and to explain their strategies for hitting the bid. The similarities among the panelists analysis was striking as each walked through their concerns on the underlying fundamentals (location, tenant mix, sponsorship, recourse). The major differences? Surprisingly (or maybe not surprisingly) not nearly as pronounced. At this point in the cycle, the Life Co's and Banks are competing (more or less) for the same deals as the CMBS lenders (albeit, it seems these days, the Life Co's are winning). There was some concern expressed that this may drive CMBS lenders to lowering underwriting standards. I’m less cynical on this point – from what I can tell, CMBS lenders - for these past four years cast as the Azazel of all that is poor underwriting - are looking at the same fundamentals as everyone else.

After the event, I joined some colleagues for dinner with clients … clients that were delayed a full hour at the office. More green shoots, I suppose. It will be a really good sign when industry "After-Work" seminars don't get rolling until at least 8:30.

By Matthew Clark.

So You Really Want To Do A Public Deal?

As the CMBS market begins to get its feet underneath it, a number of folks have begun to pine for the public markets. Since 2009, every CMBS deal has been issued as a 144A (or otherwise privately placed). The public market is beginning to feel like a memory. While there seems to have been relatively robust demand for product, a number of bankers say that demand is still somewhat constrained in the 144A institutional market place. They fondly remember the benefits of the public market: liquidity, better pricing, a wider investor pool. As the market rebounds, these bankers suggest that it may be time to dust off the shelves.

And so we thought it would be useful to revisit that bid and ask. For this purpose, we’ll assume that the hypothetical banker is right and that there are significant benefits to be obtained by reanimation of the public deal zombie. That’s the bid.

Here’s the ask. First, there’s that pesky little liability issue. The liability exposure for bankers and sponsors in the 144A market is less than in a public (registered) deal. No liability under Sections 11 and 12 of the Securities Act. That liability is generally pretty absolute (as to non-expertized info) subject only to a diligence defense. Liability in the private market is limited to 10b-5. The need to prove scienter and reliance in a 10b-5 action is a significant burden for an aggrieved investor. The difference in exposure to liability is a distinction not to be sniffed at. Yes, of course we always mean to get the disclosure right. But the underlying assets are complex and there’s an undeniable hunger among the plaintiffs’ bar to “discover” disclosure defects where honest folks, acting in good faith, thought adequate disclosure had been made. (Note also how much more ominous the enhanced liability exposure in public deals will be after FinReg and its progeny become law. As disclosure gets more complex and elaborate, the opportunities to stumble into liability grow exponentially.)

And then you’ve got to recharge the shelves. Most registered shelves are out of date and there are material time commitments and costs associated with getting a shelf ready for prime time. One could also reasonably be leery about knocking on the door of the SEC to approve a new shelf based on existing rules in the lee of a gigantic pile of someday-to-be-effective legislative and regulatory change that the SEC, understandably, is likely to be itching to implement.

Remember Reg A/B and Offering Reform 2.0? It’s still all out there. The comment period ended on August 2, 2010 and it’s been crickets ever since. One theory has it that the SEC is waiting for joint rule making on risk retention, the comment period for which has just begun, while others say that the sheer project fatigue at the SEC, short on budget and personnel and long on projects, is responsible for the delay. In any event, not a terrific environment to paste a shelf back together under old rules.

If Reg A/B comes out, what would it look like? The industry had significant and systemic issues with the proposed regulation. What happens if the worst of the ideas floated last spring make it into the final rule? Will our CEOs face new responsibilities and liabilities? Will there be some interim form of risk retention imposed prior to the FSOL pending joint rule making initiatives effective sometime in 2013? Will static disclosure return to CMBS? How about the broadly loathed Python program?

Similarly, we have the new FinReg Section 945 regulations effective next January. Rule 193, which is (for the moment) limited to registered deals, implements new due diligence requirements. Issuers will be obligated to develop diligence schemes “designed and effected to provide reasonable assurance that the disclosure…is accurate in all material respects.”  So we have a new liability standard and a new obligation to disclose not only outcomes but processes. (Note that Rule15Ga-1, which was published at the same time as Rule 193 early this year, and which requires disclosure of both fulfilled and unfulfilled repurchase requests, regrettably applies both to registered and un-registered deals).

Finally, there remains the on-and-off again problem of expertizing the rating agencies' rating information. Under FinReg. Section 939G, rating agencies were striped of their exclusion from expert status where ratings were included in registration statements. The SEC responded with a no action letter suspending 939G but who knows when that letter will be withdrawn and whether the problem will be front and center again.

That’s a lot to dislike and, frankly, one could be forgiven for having limited enthusiasm about ramping up a public initiative to run smack dab into a wall of a new and burdensome regulatory requirements.

When all is said and done, you need a pretty darn good reason right now to return to the public market and wade into the regulatory swamp burdening the registered deal. As our business continues to thrive (more or less) in the private markets we can both continue to reassess a return to the public market and hope the SEC will not become sufficiently miffed to further condition access to 144A on some of the provisions currently applicable only in the public arena. (I probably shouldn’t have even thought that thought out loud, should I?)

For the moment, the 144A market is open and robust. Net, net, I don’t see a return of the registered deal any time soon.

By Rick Jones.
 

CMBS: The Risk Retention Proposed Rule Has Finally Been Unleashed; The Comments Begin

Well, we now have our proposed risk retention rule. The regulator class has been incubating this egg for the better part of nine months and we’re all now well behind the, admittedly, magical thinking schedule proposed in the actual FinReg legislation. Now, I’m not complaining. Particularly having read this missive, I’m all into delay.

If you want to read the proposed rule, feel free to take your pick of announcements from the Department of Treasury, the Federal Reserve, the FDIC, the SEC or the FHFA: it’s here—the long-awaited Credit Risk Retention proposed Rule (large pdf). The Rule shows every evidence of having been written by a committee, in fact, by a committee of committees. We all know that the definition of a committee is something with more than two legs and less than one brain. A committee of committees? Need I say more?

The proposed Rule, some 370 pages long, is an impressive, albeit deeply flawed, attempt to implement a law that we all knew at the time could not be implemented without a massive rule making lift. It is absolutely critical that the industry comment robustly and thoughtfully, and the regulators engage thoughtfully and with an open mind to make this complex and comprehensive set of regulations do the job intended by Congress while not fundamentally impairing the function of the capital markets.

Let’s go back for a bit of history. Risk retention was one of the hallmarks of the Dodd-Frank legislation. With the industry’s thanks, Senator Crapo was successful in ensuring some asset specific flexibility was baked into the statute regarding CMBS, particularly, the notion of the B piece buyer as an alternative to the simplistic vertical sponsor slice. (We, here at Dechert, have commented on this repeatedly in the past, including here, here and here.) There’s not much point on rehashing what was in the statute (and I promise not to give in to my strong impulse to again cry: “What were you thinking?!?”). We have 5% risk retention required by statute and, unless the statute is amended or repealed, we’ll have to live with that. What I want to do here is focus on how the regulators took that statutory guidance and are proposing flawed specific rules.

So here’s the takeaway:

  • The 5% risk retention can be achieved in a number of ways, including a vertical, horizontal or L-shaped slice retained by the sponsor.
  • This retained risk cannot be sold, levered on a non-recourse basis or, in many material respects, hedged.
  • The 5% sponsor retained risk requirement can be reduced (at the discretion of the regulators) if the securitized loans meet prescriptive underwriting standards and adequate controls required by the proposed Rule. These underwriting standards and controls are very rigorous, and it’s fair to say that many loans that typically would be securitized in a conduit operation would not meet these standards. While the guidelines of a qualified commercial real estate mortgage meanders on for several pages, just look at some of the high points here: DSCR of at least 1.7 (for most properties), LTV of 65%, no subordinate liens on the property, borrowers who have not defaulted during a two year lookback period, etc., etc.
  • The sponsor can share a portion of that risk retention with an originator who contributes at least 20% of the loans in the related securitization up to that originator’s percentage contribution (but remain “responsible” for the transferees’ compliance with the proposed Rule).
  • The retention obligation can be met by a qualified B piece buyer in a qualified transaction. Here, the corset’s been tugged pretty tight. To qualify for the B piece buyer risk retention alternative, a number of criteria must be met, the most important is that the B piece buyer must retain the 5% on the same basis applicable to the sponsor.
  • Curiously, the proposed Rule is silent on what happens if an Originator or B piece buyer fails to hold its position as required by the Rule. The sponsor must monitor and “tell” if its sees a violation. What then?
  • An Operating Advisor will be required if the Special Servicer for the transaction is an affiliate of the B piece buyer, or, for that matter, to any other party to the transaction (curious that). Moreover, and I missed this in my first reading, an Operating Advisor must be appointed even if the Special Servicer is not affiliated with the B piece buyer if the B piece buyer has customary CCR removal rights over the Special Servicer.
  • This version of an Operating Advisor is, compared to current 2011 practice, a Super Operating Advisor. The Operating Advisor can “recommend” removal of the Special Servicer if it concludes the Special Servicer is not doing an adequate job. I put “recommend” in quotation marks as that recommendation must be implemented unless each class of bond holders affirmatively votes to reject that advice. That’s a vote that will never happen (see here also for discussion on bondholder voting).

We’ll return to many of these points in more detail in subsequent commentaries, but fundamentally, two good questions here. First, does the Operating Advisor’s Special Servicer termination right really improve pool performance and is it really desperately wanted and needed by investors? Second, can you sell enough B pieces if the B piece buyer cannot be an affiliate of or control the Special Servicer? Good questions. The answer to the first is maybe. Unfortunately, the answer to the second is no.

Moreover, there are no rules to mediate how a regulator (or which regulator) can agree to a reduction of the 5% threshold based on these mitigants. How does one plan, absent some fairly mechanical relationship between the delivery of mitigants and the reduction of the risk retention?

Two last words on risk retention. First, if 5% risk retention is required across the board, borrowing costs are simply going to go up. Particularly in light of the complete absence of any compelling evidentiary basis for the assertion that risk retention means better loans, it’s sad to see us pour sand in the saddlebags of the commercial real estate industry just when an expansion of credit is so critically important. (I said I wasn’t going here, but, oh well). Second, none of this applies to the GSEs, at least in their conservatorship. Now there’s a shocker.

Finally, even though this commentary is CMBS specific, I cannot talk about the new proposed Rule without mentioning the Premium Capture Provision. Yikes! They can’t possibly be saying that one may not earn a profit in securitizing loans, can they? Capitalism anyone? This is the ultimate above-the-fold headline for this regulatory Nantucket Sleigh Ride. This provision actually says that securitization cannot occur at a price above the outstanding principal balance of the loan plus costs.

I get where this came from. The regulators were concerned that somehow the 5% retention would be subverted through the unseemly earning of a profit. In this through-the-looking-glass world view, profit and capital are conflated and somehow banks will still do business for free! There is also a notion, current in regulatory circles, that securitizers don’t make conservative loans at low coupons because the securitization of those loans produces diminished profits, whereas securitization of really bad loans with high coupons produces high profits. That is clearly not true, but an ideological commitment to that notion is the underlying genetic material from which these provisions were birthed. The headline, of course, is that: “Government Ends Securitization Business, Capital Markets Starve for Capital”.

Certainly, this notion will be mediated as the comment period progresses, although I am very fearful that conversations will be captured in a price control dialogue where the regulators’ response to said headline is OK, we’re not offended by profits, just by excessive profits. Let’s discuss how much profit is acceptable. That path leads to damnation. Price controls never work, but their appeal never seems to fade away.

Enough. We have 60 or 70 days to comment, and then 2 years before implementation. A lot of deals and a lot of palaver (not to mention a Presidential election) will pass over the dam between now and then. The industry has to act, make its case, engage honestly, openly and transparently, and move this regulatory framework to a place that delivers on the promises made in the law in a way that permits capital formation to continue to flourish. It can be done.

By Rick Jones.

Bad Boys: New York Supreme Court Upholds Recourse Guaranty

Earlier this month, the New York Supreme Court issued a decision upholding the enforceability of a springing recourse guaranty given in connection with a commercial real estate loan that provided for a full "blow-up" upon voluntary bankruptcy. [Author's Note: the decision can still be appealed: New Yorkers tend to call their trial court the "Supreme Court", their supreme court the "Court of Appeals", their front steps the "Stoop" and their minor league team the "Mets".] Most of our readers are, at this point, intimately familiar with the "bad boy" guaranty and the leverage it provides a lender once the loan hits the fan. Conversely, our readers are also keenly aware of the degree to which sponsors were able to erode the scope of recourse carve outs and isolate liability in poorly capitalized shell entities during the go-go years. The most famous example, of course, being GGP’s ability to run an end-around the bad boy guaranty by filing borrowers and gurantors alike into bankruptcy in 2009 – leaving the holders of $ billions of CMBS paper without practical recourse.

Still, the bad boy guaranty (together with amendments to the Bankruptcy Code rendering single-asset bankruptcies less attractive to borrowers) did, in fact, work to reduce the number of bankruptcy filings during this most recent downturn and provided lenders with a measure of dry powder when seated at the negotiating table. A warm-body guarantor is often thought of as the gold-standard of behavior modification – no one wants to explain to their children how their college fund was paid over to a CMBS trust. Of course, a high-net worth entity can be equally as effective – so long as its assets extend beyond the subject real estate. Lenders’ confidence should be bolstered by the recent Empire State decision, which is in line with the majority of legal precedent on this issue:

Blue Hills Office Park LLC v. J.P. Morgan Chase Bank  - Massachusetts court applies plain language of guaranty to uphold claim arising from misapplication of settlement proceeds;

CSFB 2001-C-4 Princeton Park Corporate Center, LLC v. SB Rental I, LLC – New Jersey court rejects argument that recourse guaranty constituted an unenforceable liquidated damages provision;

GCCFC 2006-GG7 Westheimer Mall, LLC v. Edward H. Okun - New York court finds guarantor liable for full amount of the loan after voluntary bankruptcy petition; and

Diamond Point Plaza L.P. v. Wells Fargo Bank, N.A. – Maryland court holds guarantor responsible for full amount of loan after misapplication of rents and failure to maintain SPE status.

Recent vintage loans are, generally, including expanded carve-outs that are supported by stronger credit (indeed, the CREFC model representations and warranties include a specific representation on the presence of a recourse guaranty). Moreover, there has been a significant push by 2.0 issuers and rating agencies to require foreclosing mezzanine lenders to provide a substitute guaranty from credit-worthy entities - in some cases, that meet objective asset and shareholder equity thresholds - as a condition precedent to foreclosure (whether or not the existing guarantor is released).

Alternatively, sophisticated borrowers – themselves weary from the battles of the past half-decade – are now insisting that mortgage loan guaranties burn-off after they’ve been removed from control as a result of mezz foreclosure. Telling the kiddies that the tuition is gone because your mezz lender filed the property into bankruptcy is a different conversation altogether.

By Matthew Clark
 

The FinReg Sheriff Arrives in Town: Do You Feel Safer?

On January 20th, the SEC finalized its first batch of many rules to come under Dodd-Frank, requiring issuers to perform reviews of the assets underlying their ABS securities and requiring them to disclose fulfilled and unfulfilled repurchase requests for alleged breaches of representations and warranties.  These have effective dates beginning with 2012 issuance so, to a certain extent, we can kick the anxiety can down the road for a while.  Nonetheless, this is a pretty clear window into what may be a bleak regulatory future.  And that’s important now.  More on this later.

Rule 193 (release here (pdf)) requires an issuer to know something about the assets it’s securitizing.  The issuer is supposed to do diligence to understand the assets it securitizes and tell the investor about the nature of its inquiry.  Curiously, and I’m not complaining here, Rule 193 does not purport to define what disclosures need be made, just that there ought to be “robust" and "transparent” diligence behind them. Its inquiry must be “designed and effected to provide reasonable assurances” that the disclosures about the assets are correct.

Hardly shocking.  Call me silly, but that seems to be what we do in structured finance.  I guess more information about exactly what the issuer did to understand the assets it securitizes could be useful, particularly in asset classes in which the asset level data is sketchy and aggregate.  It’s just silly in CMBS when we already deliver vast quantities of granular data in every deal.

An issuer has strict liability for misstatements and omissions in a public deal. So what’s really added here?  An issuer can now be liable for bad disclosure about the nature of its diligence process or if its diligence failed to provide “reasonable assurance” that the disclosures were “correct”.  Now that’s new and different!  I don’t know what “reasonable assurance” means, but I suspect if we round up the usual suspects at the trial bar, they will tell us it means something, by God!  One more count in every complaint!

This only applies to registered deals and in the CMBS space registered deals are beginning to look like the dodo.  But the SEC staff mused in the preamble to the Rule that a similar regulatory regime for the 144A market might be appropriate and they’re a fixin’ to think about it.  Joy. 

Also one should not discount the argument that, as the SEC has concluded that this information needs to be provided to meet its standards for adequate disclosure, mischief could be concocted by our usual suspects right now.  If this disclosure is appropriate in 2012, why not now?

Another new rule, Rule 15Ga-1 (release here (pdf)), is more straightforwardly and more immediately problematic.  Rule 15Ga-1 requires an issuer to disclose, in a very complex and burdensome way, its past history of demands for the repurchase of assets -- successful, unsuccessful or otherwise -- for breaches of representations and warranties on pool assets.  The SEC is also requiring, in Rule 17g-7 (released with Rule 15Ga-1 above), that rating agencies include in their reports a description of the issuer's reps, the enforcement mechanisms to address breaches and how each differs from such provisions in "similar securities".

All this kicks in by the first quarter of 2012 as well, and it applies to all securitizations, public and private. SIFMA, in its comment letters on these rules (available here and here) stressed how burdensome this was, how little actual probative information it would deliver to investors, by giving investors data about unrelated asset classes and unsuccessful or even unpursued claims, and how, at least in CMBS, put-backs were really extraordinarily rare in any event.  And what in the world do rating agencies do with a "similar securities" standard?

All for naught.  We’re now going to have to learn to live with this.  Note how extraordinary it is that issuers of private 144A deals will now have to make public filings.  If that doesn’t blur the distinction between the public and private markets (which I sort of think is what the SEC has in mind), what does?

While Rule 15Ga-1 doesn’t kick in for a year, this will cause issuers a very substantial amount of work, starting now, to get ready for next year.  Below the Rule's headlines, a lot of detailed compliance and mechanics questions will need to be answered in the process.  How comforting that the Rule contains an analysis by the SEC of its expectations of the cost of compliance.  And here’s the headline: the compliance costs won’t be bad at all!  It makes risible reading.

Beyond the additional costs, extra work and potential liability imposed by these Rules, which are bad enough, this first batch of Dodd-Frank regulations tells us that complying with the fullness of Dodd-Frank is going to be a lot worse.  In a significant way, Dodd-Frank was built on the basis of unsupported conjecture, received wisdom and ideological certitudes.  Dodd-Frank booted much, if not most, of the actual sausage-making to the reconciliation and launched dozens of regulatory processes. 

The regulatory handcuffs will magnify the underlying subtext of Dodd-Frank - that we have insufficient regulatory restraints on the behavior of market participants and we need more to avoid a return to the edge of apocalypse.  Regulators will regulate.  Close calls and unclear, skeletal legislative direction will be settled in favor of more, not less. 

Consequently, the industry faces a daunting rear guard action in the 112th Congress to try to mediate what will likely be excessively burdensome and intrusive rules.  No matter how well this goes, capital formation will get harder and more expensive.  Will all of this really help investors and prevent irrational exuberance and excess?  

At least in CMBS, I think not. It’ll make some trial lawyers happy, though.

By Rick Jones.

Liquidating Trusts: Let's Detoxify the System at Last

Although there is renewed optimism for a vibrant CRE lending market in 2011 (or at least a significantly better market than the prior 3 years), many lenders and servicers continue to face challenges in dealing with delinquent or defaulted commercial mortgage and mezzanine loans (whether held on balance-sheet or securitized). The volume of these “scratch and dent” assets are expected to increase this year and are responsible for continued misfortune by masking positive returns and causing realized losses. Despite this misfortune and the associated headaches, there is appetite in the industry to acquire or aggregate large portfolios of these loans on the cheap, and make a buck or two in the process of restructuring the loans or exercising remedies.

For our part, we’ve received numerous inquiries lately from clients interested in acquiring or aggregating portfolios of these loans. The traditional methods of financing such a portfolio, such as warehouse financing or traditional CMBS securitization, are either not attractive (from a cost perspective) or simply not achievable in the market. One structure we like is the liquidating trust. If you are old enough to have enjoyed the early 1990’s, you might recall liquidating trusts. This structure became very popular in the wake of the savings and loan crisis (in the interest of full disclosure, your author was in high school back then, and has had to search the internet and rummage through dusty old files to learn more about these structures).

Let me use this opportunity to “cue the deer” and briefly describe a typical early 90’s liquidating trust structure utilized by the Resolution Trust Corporation (which was created by the US. government to manage the disposal of real estate assets held by failed financial institutions). A pool of defaulted commercial mortgage loans and REO was established. The acquisition vehicle funded the acquisition of the loans by the issuance of securities. The deals were usually structured with senior tranches of investment-grade securities sold to the public and with a subordinate equity piece retained by the issuer or sponsor. A servicer coordinated the collection of monthly payments, if any, and managed the sale or liquidation of the loans or REO held by the trust. Debt service (on the merely damaged loans), REO income and liquidation proceeds were used to pay interest and principal on the issued securities. Since these proceeds were variable, a liquidity reserve was established to help fund interest payments on the issued securities.

With a bit of tweaking and a refreshing dose of modern technology and practice, a liquidating trust can provide an answer for banks looking to offload the billions in bad loans and REO still gumming up the works. Indeed, the idea seems to have gained enough critical mass to draw the attention of the rating agencies, who are showing increased interest in these types of structures. DBRS has advocated the use of liquidating trusts as a viable option for disposing of sub- and non- performing loans, arguing that these structures are a practical alternative given the expectation of foreclosure on the mortgage assets of the trust, and finding that some liquidating trust transactions performed considerably better than expectations. DBRS recently requested comments to its proposed ratings methodology for liquidating trust structures. We understand the other rating agencies are in the process of developing ratings criteria as well.

Again, the lending re-start begun in 2010 and continuing in ’11 is a great sign, but the echoes of the bubble years can still be heard – liquidating trusts might be the vehicle to finally clean up the books.

By: Stewart McQueen and Krystyna Blakeslee

CREFC Day 1: Penn Avenue Freeze Out

The industry descended on our Nation's Capital this morning for the 2011 CREFC conference: "Commercial Lending: The New World Order". It was -2 at Logan when my shuttle took to the air - needless to say I'm more than happy for the opportunity to spend a few days with friends, clients and colleagues in a warmer climate. (Current DC temperature is 24 degrees - not quite Stone Crabs at Joe's, but I'll take what I can get.) 

CREFC President Lisa Pendergast opened with a warming message to attendees highlighting the great work CREFC and its members have done during the past 12 months, making special note of the commencement, in earnest, of the "healing process" of our industry that is now in full effect.

The important work that CREFC's members do for our industry should be noted. DC is a particularly appropriate venue for this year's conference. The work CREFC has accomplished on behalf of the mortgage industry in Congress - specifically as it relates to Dodd-Frank - has been critical. Moreover, the work of the CREFC Task Forces (literally hundreds of industry participants motivated solely by a desire to shape CMBS 2.0) has made amazing progress in developing best practices for Loan Underwriting, Representations and Warranties, PSA's and Annex-A’s.

The conference now underway, we will certainly be posting more as the conference develops.
 

 

By: Matt Clark

Happy 2011 for Mezzanine Lenders?

My New Year began this past Monday morning with the following email from a client (a Giants fan): "Now that football season is over it's time to get back to work". Not quite right for those of us here in New England, but I agree overall with the sentiment (albeit, with this year’s blizzard of year-end deals, not all of us were ever too far removed). Amid last week’s understandably slow news cycle appeared a story in Bloomberg on the growing desire in the private equity sphere for CRE mezz debt. Indeed, the stars seem to be aligning in a way that could mark 2011 as the beginning of a bull market for CRE mezz investors.
 

The late '90’s and early Oughts witnessed an explosion in the popularity of mezz debt in CMBS structures. Up until that point mezz debt was uniformly rare and rarely uniform. Mezz lender rights varied widely from deal to deal and included significant restrictions on mezz lenders’ rights to sell or finance their positions or to foreclose on their collateral (leading to high origination costs and uncertain securitization execution). The promulgation of rating agency criteria with respect to mezzanine debt (all things being equal, mezz debt generally garners only about a third of the leverage penalty attributed to a B Note) and the introduction by CREFC (then CMSA) of a standard form intercreditor provided a level playing field for lenders, investors and rating agencies. And, ignoring for the moment certain recent legal opinions (Stuy Town), the industry became very confident in their understanding of the basic architecture (in short: the right to cure, purchase, foreclose, transfer to a QUIL and a really, really complicated section on the right to amend). As we all know, by the middle of the last decade, stacked mezzanine loans (huge, stacked mezzanine loans) became the norm, each layer then being further syndicated among large numbers of participants, setting the stage for the many battles of the guerre des tranches we’ve fought these past years.

The current lending environment is primed for a resurgence in mezzanine lending for a number of reasons. Despite a stabilization (if not a rebound) in property values, a vast number of owners will not be in a position to refinance their properties at maturity given the levels mortgage lenders are willing to lend to; mezzanine debt can erect a portion of the bridge to higher loan-to-value ratios. And notwithstanding LIBOR, yields should be able to attract private equity dollars. Oddly (and, again, Stuy Town notwithstanding) the downturn may have, in some ways, bolstered mezz investors’ confidence in the structural integrity of mezzanine debt. The extended go-go-cycle from the nineties through ’07 deprived mezz lenders of a proper laboratory to vet the effectiveness of their remedies en masse. Recent history, however, has shown the UCC sale to be the tool of choice for many savvy investors looking to purchase distressed real estate (for instance, see these posts on the mezzanine foreclosure of the Hancock Tower).

Mezzanine debt will be an important, desirable aspect of lending in 2011. And, one note in closing, as this first week of ’11 draws to an end - I realize, strangely enough, the client was right. There will be no football in New England this weekend. Tommy Brady drew the first round bye.

By Matt Clark.

Animal Spirits and Limits of Memory

While perhaps akin to stories of sixteen foot gators in the New York sewer system, I have heard that there is a physiological basis for suppressing the more painful memories of childbirth which is the species’ way of ensuring that couples have more than one child. Perhaps a similar thing is affecting investors and market participants to allow animal spirits to be rekindled this January.

Oh, I think it’s fair to say that there were precious few animal spirits in January ’08 and ’09 and we were all a bit fluttery at the beginning of 2010, but I think we’ve put the worst memories of the last 3 years’ unpleasantness behind us and appear intent on enjoying the delightful frisson of booming times once again.
 

Before we do, though, I thought it might be instructive to look back a bit at the headlines of 2010 so that while we embrace exuberance again, we at least have some context to measure its irrationality.

With some nod to chronological order, here is a snapshot of the year’s Headlines:

• The Last Lingering Marquee Names of the Late Lamented Boom Finally Go!
• All the Marquee Names from the Late Boom are Rehired in Droves
• The Street Resumes Lending, Conduits Begin are Back
• Legacy CMBS Spreads Tighten
• Special Servicing Cohorts Reach New High Watermark
• Big Lifeco’s Step Up on the Biggest and Best Class A Deals
GGP, GGP, ESH, StyTown, Hilton, Stations Crossing, etc., etc.
• Hope Note Workouts Panned
• Chinese Banks Enter Market
• Chinese Banks Enter Market
• Chinese Banks Enter Market
• Chinese Banks Enter Market
• The Repo Market Returns
• Elliot, H2 and Others
• New B Buyers Gear Up, Some Old Friends Return
• Dodd-Frank, Reg AB, 17(b)-5, FDIC Securitization Safe Harbor, Risk Retention, etc.
• It’s Finally Fall and the Crap Conduit Pipelines of the Spring Begin to Get Real
• Major Banks Return to the Fray
• The Street Begins to Buddy Up for Conduit CMBS Deals: Goldman, Citi, JP Morgan, Deutsche, Wells, BofA, UBS
• JPM Tops Lender and Bookrunner Rankings
• The Republican Congress Finally Sits Down

There is my, admittedly, idiosyncratic snapshot of a year’s worth of headlines in our little corner of the capital markets. Market pros are back in seats and have been given balance sheets to lend. Investors will buy bonds at prices that incent borrowers to borrow. There’s appetite in the investment grade and there’s appetite in the B-note sector. With interest rates benign and borrower refi needs growing, the first loan and mezzanine lending businesses are off and running. Most of the usual suspects are back in the game. The last few will join early in 2011, but, boy oh boy, watch out for China. After the year’s worth of breathlessly dramatic, often buried and awfully unthoughtful (and bone headedly insensitive to collateral damage), regulatory action, we are still in business. With a Republican Congress, there’s some hope that some of the more addled regulatory output brought to us by a panicky political class certain that we were circling the toilet bowl of the apocalypse can be ameliorated.

Notwithstanding all of the noise, the CMBS structure performed pretty well in the crucible of enormous financial strain resulting from real estate values in free fall. It will serve as a robust basis for capital formation in 2011. The warehouse financing market is back and back in a big way, with sufficient volume to meet the needs of asset accumulators. Once again, the memories of the pain of borrowing short and lending long will be suppressed. See above.

Living through 2010, it seemed pretty choppy. Looking back, it seems easier, somehow, to compose a narrative of a market well along the way to repair. You know, on reflection, I can barely remember how awful 2007 through 2009 really felt. I’m so over that. Thankfully, those who forget the past are condemned to repeat it. Otherwise, markets and we humans would have died out years ago. Let’s hear it for animal spirits in 2011.
 

By Rick Jones

Seven Year Cycles and Five Month Memories

Leading with the good news, the commercial mortgage finance market is back and growing at a brisk pace.  From a few standalones in the fourth quarter of 2009, we’ve gotten to a remarkable place.  Even during the first half of 2010, while lenders were hesitantly starting to lend, precious few lenders actually had real balance sheet availability for securitization.  That changed.  We’re back!  

Almost as soon as these markets began to function again, complaints about the quality of the loans began to bubble up.  OK, LTVs remain modest and, broadly, we’re not  underwriting pro forma income, but structural rigor and simplicity did not long endure.  Give me a break.  The joke has always been that our business had a seven year cycle and five year memories so that once in every cycle we’d recapitulate the errors of the last.  But five months?

Certainly a sort of Gresham’s Law is at work here: aggressive underwriting drives out conservative underwriting.  There’s a shocker.  But the pace of change has caught most market participants, and certainly me, by surprise.  I thought we’d muddle along with relatively low LTV structures on essentially problem-free real estate assets for the better part of a year before starting to see what we’re already seeing.

On reflection, however, what’s happened shouldn’t be a surprise.  The genie does not go back into the bottle.  Technology does not get unlearned (Dark Ages aside arguendo).  We’ve developed sophisticated financial engineering, a set of structures and documentation to work around innumerable issues presented by “challenged” properties.  That technology is not going away.

So the originator agreed to alter the spread based on subsequent performance?  No problem!!  One, prepare an A/B.  Two, shove the variability into the retained B.  Three, size and price accordingly.  So the borrower needs to take a property out of a multi property loan?  Voila!  Bake in a substitution mechanic (and more easily now given REMIC reform).

Moreover, we need lots of mezz and we need B notes.  That just is.  The rigor of LTV, combined with a still very benign interest rate environment means that LTV caps mortgage loan size, leaving plenty of revenue to service a high yield coupon.  Welcome mezz and B Notes to close the gap between CMBS 2.0 (or is that more like 1.01?) and the borrowers' hunger for proceeds.

Loan performance is measured through the dual metrics of the incidence of default and the severity of loss.  Complexity and structure tend to go to the severity.  As long as LTVs remain modest and underwriting remains anchored to in-place cash flows, who really cares about pesky structural complexity?  The loan won’t go bad, right?  Ya just gotta believe to play.  Let’s face it, complexity is fun.

By Rick Jones.

Midnight Train to Boston: Dechert Speaks at IMN in NYC

I’m writing from Pennsylvania Station on a particularly bad day for our national rail service (Amtrak) – apparently the heavy rains and gusts wreaked havoc with electrical wires running both North and South, delaying (or cancelling) every Acela, Keystone, Silver Meteor, Silver Star and Vermonter scheduled to leave our country’s busiest transport hub. The (woefully underrated) holiday movie Love Actually opens with Hugh Grant’s musing that when faced with the general gloominess of the world he considers the smiles of arriving Heathrow passengers as they greet their waiting loved ones. On this first day of December and first night of Hanukkah, however, I’m fearful that Mr. Grant would be sorely disappointed in the zeitgeist of the half-million or so travelers looking to depart for Stamford and Boston, Philadelphia and DC and the balance of the Northeast Corridor.

I was in New York to speak at IMN’s 10th Annual Borrowers’, Investors’ and Special Servicers’ Forum on Real Estate Lending & Distressed Debt. As always, the conference drew over 500 people to the Roosevelt Hotel - mainly servicers, borrowers, advisors and attorneys. The topics revolved around mezzanine lending, distressed debt (it’s important to remember these are not necessarily the same thing) and what 2011 will hold for an industry certain only that each new year carries with it its own uncertainty. First-day presentations included Dechert partner Kathy Burroughs moderating a discussion on servicing issues with a particular emphasis on special servicers’ take on disposition strategies, and Deborah Ginsberg from Captrust participating in a lively discussion on tranche warfare and survival techniques when living among the deeply subordinated. My panel – Mezzanine Loan Workouts and Case Studies - was a general discussion of what we are seeing in the market. Some familiar territory here – discussion of pretending and extending; this term tends to get thrown around pretty liberally at these gigs. I hate it - implies (to me) a certain laziness and neglect – in truth, if we’re kicking the can down the road, it’s opting for a future calamity over a current catastrophe. Lots of discussion on discounted payoffs and loan sales, with sales expected to curtail somewhat in ’11 (the general feeling being that the universe of potential bidders for real estate far exceeds that for distressed loans, and selling REO avoids the haircut bidders give for stepping in to clean up the mess). Sales to borrowers and borrower affiliates were broadly discussed, as we weighed in with our thoughts on strategies for dealing with intercreditor prohibitions. Lastly, we discussed the importance of recourse guaranties as an important leverage tool – especially for underwater lenders looking to maximize any possible recovery (think hold-up value for potential pre-packs or deeds-in-lieu higher in the capital stack).

The topic du jour, however, was the Stuy Town/Peter Cooper decision and its impact. Things got, well, downright heated during one panel on this topic and I found myself talking through this issue for a good half hour with attorneys from other firms. Personally, I like Rick’s general take on this case. And even setting aside the particular language in question (which reasonable people can argue about for hours) – no one walked into this deal expecting that the mezz would need to stroke a $3 billion check in order to foreclose (to say nothing of whether it makes any sense – at all – to “cure” an accelerated mortgage loan). That said, I’m not at all confident that (aside from some unavoidable late-nights gnashing over the mezzanine foreclosure section of future intercreditors) it will matter all that much. At the end of the day this decision had less to do with the architecture of mezzanine finance than it did with the orderly transition of the ownership of a property that houses 12,000-or-so registered voters.

My Acela finally left Penn Station, but as I bring this to a close we’ve been stranded somewhere north of New Haven and south of New London. More electrical problems – late fall winds blowing trees into our path somewhere up ahead; perhaps a fitting end to a conference spent looking toward an uncertain 2011.

 By Matthew Clark.

Foreclosure Crisis: Much Ado About MERS?

Of the many stories that garnered national coverage during Tuesday’s midterm elections, Thomas Miller's successful election to an eighth term as Iowa’s Attorney General went largely unnoticed by the talking heads at MSNBC and Fox. Miller is the point-man for the 50-state investigation into the burgeoning mess the media likes to call the “Foreclosure Crisis”. We’ve already learned about the dangers of RoboSigners (see Rick's blog post), and the past weeks have seen a notable increase in coverage regarding a ubiquitous but heretofore relatively unknown company called MERS.

The Mortgage Electronic Registration Systems– a company essentially founded by industry participants (the GSE’s and some big-time private label issuers) - serves two primary functions. First, the company acts as record title holder of the mortgage (as nominee for the noteholder) and keeps track of the owner of the beneficial interests in the note. Second, in states where it is permitted, MERS will appear in court to execute the foreclosure process. Seems pretty innocuous - placing nominal title to a security interest in the name of a nominee for the benefit of the actual stakeholders in the debt. But in early October, a judge in Oregon stopped a foreclosure of a securitized sub-prime residential mortgage loan on the grounds that the assignment of a mortgage to MERS was ineffective because MERS didn’t hold the note – leading the judge to find that MERS lacked a cognizable interest in the property (I expect that this will not be the last we here with respect to this ruling). Then Jamie Dimon commented during an earnings call that his firm no longer used MERS, a story picked up by CNBC (turns out JP Morgan cut ties with MERS in 2008). The Times followed with a story last week detailing two recent scholarly articles by law professors at Utah and Georgetown that take issue with MERS from a public policy perspective.

MERS is a creature of necessity, established in the wake of the explosive growth of residential securitization. When a mortgage loan (residential or commercial) is sold, the promissory note (evidencing the debt) is assigned to the purchaser via allonge – the mortgage (which is placed of record at origination) is assigned through a recorded assignment. Relatively simple, until one considers the number of mortgage loans being securitized, the fact that the securitization of a single mortgage loan may require multiple assignments (remember, the GSEs are accumulators, not direct lenders, and therefore needed to first acquire the underlying loans, to say nothing of assignments to depositors and repo lenders) and also, the fact that (with extremely few exception) the land recordation system in place in this country is almost impossibly outmoded in terms of technology. The overwhelming number of assignments - coupled with the inability of local recorders to keep pace - created a need for a more modern approach to tracking the ownership of mortgage loan, and MERS satisfied this need by offering a DTC-like registry for mortgages.

This is a developing story, and one sure to play out over the course of coming months. Last week we issued this Dechert OnPoint to clients that might be concerned with respect to potential issues in their foreclosure processes. Of course, we will continue to monitor these issues as they develop.

By Matt Clark.

 

Careful What You Wish For...

The gestation of CMBS 2.0 continues apace. A slow pace. The bulk of the deals look an awful lot like CMBS 1.0, but at least one, the Goldman/Citi deal, seemed to come right out of the playbook of the activist investment grade ad hoc committee that has been fulminating for fundamental change in the structure of CMBS. The Goldman/Citi deal saw a B buyer without customary rights to terminate the special servicer, bondholder voting mechanics to remove the special servicer, a consulting ombudsman for the investment grade classes, and constrained special servicer compensation. To say the least, the industry’s notion of what CMBS 2.0 ought to look like has not gelled and will probably continue to see innovation and tinkering for some time to come. Certainly, the industry has yet to absorb whatever risk retention FinReg will bring us as well as possible changes in the structure of representations and warranties and perhaps something to reflect enhanced underwriting.

The talk on the street is that the investment grade buyers responded very well to the Goldman/Citi structure. At the end of the day the structure will follow the money.

So it’s a good time to pause for a minute on the rush to the new structure. Is the new structure, so adamantly pursued by segments of the investment grade marketplace, really an unalloyed good?

We’ve beaten to death the nexus of conflict between a B buyer with termination rights and a special servicer intent on doing its bidding. Done. Agreed. What we got in return may be a special servicer that is incredibly hard to replace and is perhaps insensitive to bondholder concerns. In the Goldman/Citi deal, seventy-five percent of the bondholders must vote to replace the special servicer. Seventy-five percent! While the deal created the infrastructure for a voluntary bondholder register, it is unclear whether it will work at all. My bet is it doesn’t. My bet is bondholder removal initiatives will make hen’s teeth seem common.

So we have a special servicer for life and a fairly toothless B buyer who will have substantially less tools at hand to hold the special servicers’ feet to the fire. Is that a reasonable price to avoid the conflict? For those around in the early days of the business, we saw a full and robust debate over whether the B buyer at the bottom of the capital stack with the unfettered right to remove the special servicer was good or bad and the conclusion was that it was good. To borrow from Mr. Churchill, it was the worst possible system for enforcing the rights of various bondholders as a collective whole, except for all of the others.

And then you have an ombudsman. An ombudsman is essentially limited to cajoling and jawboning. Will that really improve the performance of the servicer? I doubt it. Will it create more transactional friction in the system that is already not exactly a paradigm of German engineering? For sure. Will it generate emails and correspondence which will potentially be grist for the mill of aggrieved borrowers who don’t like any particular decision of the special servicer and are looking to attack it? Certainly. Will this really move the ball forward? I think the question is on the table.

Finally, at least finally for purposes of this brief piece, special servicing compensation has been suppressed. Competition is certainly a wonderful thing and it can generate efficiency and enhance performance. On the other hand, if you pay peanuts sometimes you get monkeys. Is there enough compensation here to motivate the special servicer throughout the term of this long term relationship? Is the compensation competitive enough here to attract a replacement in the event the bondholders somehow get to the point they wish to remove the special servicer. I don’t know the answer, but I think the debate on these issues have been short of full and robust.

Standby. I don’t think we’re at the end of the experimentation that will ultimately stabilize into a CMBS 2.0 – no one should jump to conclusions in these early days.

By Rick Jones

REMIC Rules Provide "Safer" Harbor for Releases

As a follow up to my earlier post, we just issued this article (pdf) about the IRS’ recent Revenue Procedure (pdf) regarding the REMIC rules. The problems inherent in last September’s REMIC Regulations have been well-covered in this blog. In short, the IRS surprised the industry by requiring a mortgage loan to pass an 80% value-to-loan test as a condition to any lien release (the same test required upon initial contribution to the REMIC). While the existing REMIC Rules could have been read to only expressly permit releases of property in connection with a qualifying defeasance, the pervasive view among issuers and their counsel for years was that certain releases (outparcels, condemnation, and partial releases upon pay-down, to name a few) were permissible so long as the release was at the option of the borrower and was subject only to certain objective criteria.

Timing is everything – and the new 80% test was instituted in the wake of the largest devaluation of commercial real estate in history. As most lenders could attest, a 125% ltv on an otherwise performing mortgage loan in 2009 was far from unheard of. This placed CMBS servicers between a rock and a hard place when the borrower had the right to sell off a property. Denying the release presumably meant facing a lawsuit from the borrower (to say nothing of claims by B note holders and mezz lenders); permitting the release resulted in a violation of the REMIC Rules, and possible liability to bondholders under the PSA.

The Rev Proc attempts to right the ship by creating two safe harbors. First, the Rev Proc allows for releases for “grandfathered transactions” – releases permitted under loan documents executed prior to December 6, 2010. The second of the safe harbors permits “qualified pay-down transactions” - releases in exchange for a principal pay-down in a qualifying amount.

The fix offered by the Rev Proc isn’t without its own set of uncertainties, however. You’ll notice a “grandfathered transaction”, by its terms, seems to include releases pursuant to contracts executed prior to this coming December. However, I don’t believe there is any consensus among tax practitioners as to whether the IRS means to indicate that existing mortgage loans could be amended in coming months to be brought into compliance (the examples provided in the Revenue Procedure unfortunately don’t offer guidance). And the definition of what constitutes a qualifying pay-down could prove very difficult to meet in some circumstances. The Rev Proc essentially requires 100% of sale or condemnation proceeds be applied toward the outstanding principal of the loan, allowing for no deduction for typical transactions costs like brokerage fees, restoration (think new curb cuts required when the city widens a road) or, ahem, legal fees. Not even reasonable legal fees.

Still, the Rev Proc goes a long way toward addressing the immediate concerns that were raised last Fall (pdf). As for it limitations – I think they will remain – no one anticipates further comment from the IRS on REMIC issues any time soon.
 

Update: Treasury Clarifies REMIC Rules on Property Releases

As I discussed in my prior blog post, and this article, last September’s REMIC regulations left servicers, lenders and borrowers in a quandary over the effect the new “principally secured by real estate test” would have on troubled multi-property loans with release features. The new rules, in some cases, could have resulted in adverse tax consequences to REMIC containing loans with underlying real estate collateral that had fallen below a 125% ltv. Yesterday, the IRS announced Revenue Procedure 2010-30 which, at first read, provides some relief. The new Rev Proc elucidates the circumstances under which certain modifications will be deemed not to fail the principally-secured test. Specifically, loan modifications that relate either to a “grandfathered qualified mortgage” (generally, a modification effected pursuant to the terms of loan documents executed prior to December 6, 2010) or a “qualified pay-down transaction” (generally, a release of a lien in exchange for a principal pay-down of a qualifying amount) won't result in the IRS asserting a REMIC challenge. Apparently, someone at Treasury recognized the conundrum the new rules created in lien-release scenarios – more information and analysis on the new rules will be forthcoming.
 

Industry Considers CMBS 2.0 Rep Package

Issuers, investors, rating agencies and other industry participants continue to wrestle with the fundamental changes that will come to define CMBS 2.0. Among the (many) issues raised in the "Best Practices" guidelines issued by CREFC during June’s get-together was a proposal for market-wide, programmatic change to the package of representations and warranties given by securitization issuers. Specifically, investors are calling for the formulation of a market standard list of reps and warrants, and for a standard procedure for receiving any deviations on a deal-by-deal basis. One would hope this would sate the appetite of the investing community – a community ravenous after being starved of ground lease exceptions and knowledge qualifiers during the lean years.

What exactly will be included in the CMBS 2.0 rep package is being debated by market constituents. One overriding issue being driven by the investor community is the inclusion of some derivation of representations regarding underwriting practices. Investors will push hard for reps that underwriting procedures were generally in-line with “market standards”, or that the underwriting of a loan complied with the originator’s own best practices. We could also see a push for issuers to stand behind their underwriting on a more granular level – including representations regarding the issuer’s receipt and review of current rents rolls and historical operating statements. These representations will be the source of stress for issuers; good underwriting – always more of an art than a science – is difficult to shoehorn into a clear representative statement.

Will the model reps catch on? Perhaps not – as highlighted in this blog, deals are getting done in advance of any widespread agreement on rep and warranty expansion. And practically, while CMBS 1.0 reps and warrants were never quite “fixed”, there was a pervasive understanding of the universe of statements given from deal-to-deal. I also might suggest that the real effects of any deterioration of reps during the boom years (if there really was any) have been overplayed – in the vast majority of circumstances, the contributing causes of widespread loan failures would not have been resolved by greater representation or disclosure, no matter how robust.

However, if a new rep package is widely adopted, lenders will need to be very careful to ensure that their form loan documents include the appropriate provisions in order to stand behind the reps they will be expected to deliver.


 

Aligning the Money and the Mouth

Goldman and Citi are about to launch a moderate size new CMBS conduit deal. This would follow on the heels of JP Morgan’s more or less successful offering in June. Comparing these two deals is going to be a huge “tell” about CMBS 2.0. If market chatter is right, the Goldman/Citi deal will have many of the bells and whistles at the core of the investment grade buyer’s proposed “Best Practices” wish list regarding CMBS 2.0. Let’s assume for a minute that, indeed, the deal includes a bunch of their “alignment” features, such as some form of “skin in the game”, an independent special servicer not subject to being kicked out and replaced by any B buyer, an operating advisor representing the interest of the investment grade buyer, a bond registrar so that bondholders can more effectively exercise voting rights, enhanced data available to all bond buyers or prospective buyers, a robust web-based disclosure add-on, enhanced representations and warranties, and more data about rent roll on the underlying properties. If so, we’ll have set the table to resolve some of the most contentious issues in CMBS 2.0.

In other words, it will be put up or shut up time for the investment grade buyers. If such a deal is deemed to have traded materially inside JP (adjusted for collateral quality, subordination levels and the like), that will be pretty good evidence that investors are really prepared to pay up for these innovations and that should inform the shape of the new market. If the market senses that these new deal features (many of which have a material price to the deal) do not attract noteworthy better spreads, then the great debate over CMBS 2.0 may be over, and 2.0 will probably continue to look a lot like CMBS we’ve known and loved.

Oh, there will be some enhancements to 2.0 whether or not bond buyers swoon over the new structure. Underwriting will be better (for a while), reimbursement of accrued but unpaid interest will be subordinate to the return of principal, we’ll tweak disclosure, and yes, with FinReg in the books, we’ll now have to deal with some form of skin in the game. Otherwise, 2.0 will equal 1.0. That’s the market for you. Just like in TV land, if the consumer, having said they will only watch Masterpiece Theater, really watches Gilligan’s Island, then we’ll get a steady diet of Gilligan’s Island.
 

Securitization Update: Status of Recent Legislative and Regulatory Proposals ‬

Dechert has assembled a team to cover the latest legislative and regulatory developments affecting the CMBS, RMBS, and ABS markets. Each Dechert Securitization Update provides timely information on these developments. For a discussion of several recent legislative and regulatory developments that will shape the future of the securitization markets, please see the latest Securitization Update Dechert has prepared. This Securitization Update includes a discussion of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, the SEC's proposal to amend Regulation AB, the FDIC's proposed changes to the "safe harbor" rule, and the SEC's new rating agency rules. To be added to our regular Securitization Update mailing list, please follow this link, fill out all required fields, and check the box entitled "Real Estate and Structured Finance", along with any other subject areas that might be of interest.

The Hancock Tower: A Distressed Debt Success Story?

According to the Boston Globe, the owners of Boston's signature office building - the John Hancock Tower - have begun marketing a significant stake in the building.  Many will remember that the Hancock Tower represented one of the Great Recession’s first large-scale mezzanine foreclosures, falling in late 2008/early 2009 when a joint venture comprised of Normandy Real Estate and Five Mile Capital acquired the building via mezzanine foreclosure.  As other industry players were “extending and pretending”, the team from Normandy/Five Mile did their homework, called the borrower’s bluff and bought themselves a building.  And now it looks like it may be paying off.

By accurately predicting the building's value and strategically purchasing mezzanine debt at the rights levels, the joint venture was able to seize control of the mezzanine stack and force foreclosure.  The master stroke - using mezzanine controlling holder rights to de-lever a bloated (and hugely complicated) mezzanine capital stack, while keeping attractively low-priced mortgage debt in place – serves as a brilliant example of sophisticated distressed-debt investing in CMBS structures and a primer on how to fight and win “Tranche Warfare”.
 

Even in the uncertain days of early-2009, the price paid at foreclosure (around $660 million)shocked local and national real estate watchers alike.  The previous owner - Broadway Partners - had acquired the building in 2007 for approximately $1.2 billion.  A 65% haircut (a “half-price sale” as noted by the WSJ at the time) was south of even some of the most dire predictions of CRE values for Class A office buildings.  By bidding only approximately $20m more than the existing mortgage debt, the joint venture was able to effectively obtain greater-than-90%-plus financing at a top-of-the-bubble, below market interest rate.

But in any loan-to-own strategy, follow-through is everything.  And the Normandy/Five Mile team appears to have produced results.  Since taking control of the tower, Normandy/Five Mile has poured significant funds (reportedly around $50m) into upgrades (including a new underground parking garage and a new lobby cafe) and was awarded a LEED Gold Existing Building certification - making the Hancock the largest "green" building in New England.  The capstone was put in place with the recent announcement of a 15 year, 208,000 square foot lease to Boston-based Bain Capital – the largest office lease signed in the Hub this year.  Bain, scheduled to move in fall of 2011, will bring the occupancy of the building to 95%.

If the early valuations assigned by local brokers (reportedly $900-950m) are right, this building – which peers over Fenway Park - was truly a home run.
 

Live From The CREFC: Day 2

This article was published by Matthew T. Clark and Stewart McQueen.

For 150 attendees, Day 1 of the 2010 CREFC Annual Convention ended with dinner hosted by Dechert at Shelly's Trattoria in Midtown.  We thought the turnout was exceptional, and it was great to be able to socialize and dine with so many of our clients and friends.

The sessions continued this morning.  The Investment-Grade Bondholders Forum included a spirited debate about best practices for a CMBS restart, including risk retention and streamlined information flow.  Another panel, entitled Color of Money: Raising Capital in the Current Environment - Challenges and Opportunities, was very well attended as panelists discussed the hurdles to successful fund raising in this market. 
 

Skin in the Game

I can’t stand it. We now have skin in the game provisions proposed by the SEC, the FDIC, the House of Representatives and the United States Senate. 

On CNN the other day, Congressman Barney Frank said that the most important part of the House Financial Reform bill was skin in the game in securitization. Okay, I know we’re probably stuck with it and the world will not end. Capital formation will be modestly depressed and the geniuses on the Street will work overtime to mitigate the impact of all that excess capital sloshing around. But it pains me to give up the fight. Skin in the game is certainly an attractive slogan and, superficially, it makes a great deal of sense. But no one has really looked at the data.  The worst performing sector in the fixed income world was, without doubt, loans to developers, builders and the like. All of this lending activity was on book or, in the skin in the game parlance; the lenders had nothing but skin in the game.

Hello! Lehman failed. Bear failed. Merrill failed (more or less). The GSEs don’t even bear thinking about.   All of this carnage happened not because the institutions were brilliantly successful in laying off bad credit to dumb investors, but because they had skin in the game. In the CMBS sector, mortgage loan originators generally sold 100% of the risk of the loans they originated, and the sector is experiencing losses generally consistent or somewhat better than the performance of commercial real estate taken as a whole. Again, explain to me how skin in the game is going to fix this?

Moreover, all of the legislative and regulatory proposals also go out of the way to demand the lenders do not hedge the skin. Huh? Didn’t we just finish castigating the banking sector for mismanaging risk? So now we’re giving notice that such negligence is obligatory? I don’t get it.

The fascination with skin amounts to misdirection. It sucks the air out of a debate on other steps which could get at the real problem. Let’s think about underwriting standards, for goodness sakes.

The SEC, in its recent request for comment to its proposed ABS rule asked for input on whether the structure of CMBS, with a hard-nosed B-piece buyer at the bottom of the capital stack, is a good way to achieve the benefits promised by skin in the game. Maybe the final regulations will embrace that view. That would represent adult leadership. But, the political wisemen tell me, no chance, we’re stuck with skin in the game. Another great idea brought to us through the bounty of the populist sound byte.

New REMIC Rules Leave Servicers with Questions

The changes to the REMIC rules (PDF) were intended, at least in part, to ease restrictions on servicers of securitized mortgage loans. However, while expanding the scope of permitted modifications, the new REMIC regulations also impose a requirement that the modified loan be re-tested to ensure the mortgage loan continues to be principally secured by real estate. This generally makes sense REMICs are intended to hold mortgage loans, and this new requirement presumably prevents a servicer from modifying the mortgage loan so as to be secured by other assets, such as credit-card receivables, cash or other non-real estate collateral.

The problem, however, is that the new regulations also require mortgage loans to be re-tested any time real property collateral is released (even if the release is explicitly contemplated by the loan documents). On troubled multi-property loans (with an LTV of less than 80%), this re-testing requirement potentially puts servicers between a rock and a hard place, forcing them to choose between entering into a prohibited modification (resulting in the imposition of potentially severe tax penalties) and incurring liability to borrower (and potentially, junior lenders) for failing to meet the obligations of the loan documents.

The immediate problem could be fixed in any number of ways (many of which have been suggested in writing by industry groups such as the American Securitization Forum and the CRE Finance Council (formerly CMSA)). Proposed solutions include clarifying that the release of collateral in exchange for the payment of a release price would not be deemed a modification under the REMIC rules, or replacing the existing principally secured by real estate test with a before-and-after LTV test.

Until resolved, this issue will continue to frustrate the already stalled CMBS lending industry.

Photo:  Flickr user kalleboo