Dexia / Soros - Basel III and the Importance of Faith
While Europe is sorting through Dexia’s assets, it is worth exploring Dexia’s fall in light of Basel III. As mentioned here previously, Dexia had been reporting Tier I capital of roughly 10%. Well done! That would clearly meet the proposed capital requirements to be phased in over the next year. So what went wrong?
Dexia had pursued a strategy of aiming to be the largest player in municipal financing. It owned gobs of sovereign debt. Down-grades and write-downs of that sovereign debt have now left Dexia well short of its Tier I capital requirements (to the tune of 1.7 billion Euros).
This is hardly a man bites dog story. The Gnomes of Basel, and pretty much everyone else, misjudged the perceived credit risks of sovereign debt. Basel I (and, to be honest, II and III) encouraged the holding of sovereign debt by assigning the lowest risk-weight to such assets, meaning a reduced capital requirement. So, the banks bulked up and then: Off the cliff we all go! Is there still a warm glow of knowing one had met international norms?
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